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Independent, value-oriented research — I write about stocks across China and global markets.

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Issues179Founded2 years agoLast Issue6 days ago
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Latest Issues

The Week Ahead

I figured I’d try doing a short week-ahead post where I go through the main earnings and events coming up, a few levels I’m watching, and how I’m thinking about the market going into it.

I might make these a regular thing, or at least put...

6 days ago
10
3

Collateral Damage

Three beaten-down stocks and a bet on yields finally settling down.

I’ve been thinking more about housing lately, mostly because I think the move higher in yields has left some of the stocks tied to it far too beaten up. If yields have pea...

13 days ago
10
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Alibaba: Are Expectations Too Low?

I’ve been looking through some new Alibaba notes/research from Citi and Nomura this week and wanted to share my thoughts on their estimates and how they compare with what I’m expecting.

I’ve been looking through some new Alibaba notes/rese...

21 days ago
12
2
Paid

A premature obituary for Shift4

I’ve been wrong on Shift4 so far.

I’ve been wrong on Shift4 so far. I thought it was cheap at much higher prices and bought too early. It’s been an awful stock to own, and being bullish on the business hasn’t made that any less painful.

a month ago
12
Paid

Higher for How Long?

The 10-year Treasury yield has gone from 4.79% at the beginning of September to around 5.3%. The 30-year has traded above 5.6%. Those are levels we haven’t seen since 2007 and 2002, respectively, and it’s been a pretty relentless move highe...

a month ago
11

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  • Coughlin Cap
  • Brian Coughlin

    Independent research for investors who think for themselves — covering US & Asia, with a focus on China

  • AK | Unfair Advantage Capital

    Finding businesses I never have to sell.

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