Countdown to 2026
Brad Van ArnumMaking sense of America's electoral trends, demographics, and the 2024 presidential election, one map at a time.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 17 | Subscribers | Read | countdown2026.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Wisconsin: The Closest State
If you had asked me on November 4th how many of the seven swing states would end up being decided by a point or less, I think I might have said at least four of them. I may have even wondered if all seven could potentially come down to such...
The Morning After
Hi everyone, here’s hoping this e-mail finds you not awake at 5 AM, as I am. With the presidential election having been called for Trump earlier this morning, I thought I’d share a few thoughts on the results. Please forgive any typos or er...
A Final Look at the Swing States
With under 20 days until Election Day, it’s remarkable how stable the presidential race has been over the last month. National polls have shown Harris leading Trump by an average of between 2 to 3 points, a narrow range that has rarely been...
50 Days: North Carolina Moves to Toss-Up
Well, here we are, close enough to the election that it now feels right to count down in days rather than weeks. Last I wrote, the Democratic convention had just wrapped up, and Harris was reaching her peak in both state and national polls....
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Amateur political analyst who writes about the 2024 presidential election, with a focus on the swing states. My newsletter, Countdown to 2026, features periodic updates on American politics.
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