Craig’s Substack
Craig WrightMy personal Substack
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 480 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
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singulargrit.substack.comLatest Issues
Everything Reduces to the Verifier
Search, self-critique, process supervision, reinforcement learning, replanning — every proposed remedy for long-horizon planning needs a checker that is better than the generator. Where one exists, agents work. Where one does not, nothi...
One Wrong Premise, Faithfully Executed
Thesis. The standard argument against long-horizon agents is multiplicative: if each of n steps succeeds independently with probability p, the sequence succeeds with probability pⁿ, and at five hundred steps even 0.99 per step leaves...
The Price of a Causal Variable
Thesis. A generative model trained on sequences learns to answer “what usually follows this?” An agent that changes its environment needs to answer “what happens if I do this?” These are different quantities, and the second is not re...
The Constraint Nobody Can Check
Continual learning is written as a promise about every prior capability and measured as an average over a handful. Until that gap closes, “no catastrophic forgetting” is a statement about the benchmark, not about the model.
Thes...
Confidence Is Not a Number You Print
A language model cannot tell a memorised fact from a plausible completion, because nothing inside it is charged with the distinction. This is the architecture that would be — what it fixes, what it costs, and the two problems it does no...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I’m what happens when intellect refuses to apologise. Builder of systems, breaker of consensus. I hold more degrees than most have opinions. I don’t write to soothe—I write to expose. Truth matters. If that unsettles you, good.
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