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Critical Uncertainty

Critical Uncertainties

Risk, uncertainty and making decisions

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Latest Issues

Air India Flight 182 - Suicide in the Skies

I wrote the piece below in 2014 just after the Germanwings disaster in which the co-pilot locked the captain out of the cockpit then flew the aircraft into a mountain. Not much has changed in the following decade unfortunately.

Amidst all...

a year ago
1

Why Renewables Can't Get Us to NetZero

Renewables are never going to be able to get us to a clean hundred percent renewable future, and they’re not going to get us to NetZero either. Here’s why:

  1. Renewables are intermittent, that means that you need to build more than you n...
a year ago
2

An update on that book I was writing

I’ve been ~~beavering~~ slogging away at my eternity project and have managed to get the list of `things to do’ down to single figures, so enjoy!

Thanks for reading Critical Uncertainty! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support...

3 years ago

The Wind Is Always Blowing Somewhere Right?

In a previous post we discussed the reduction in capacity factors of solar and wind as their market penetration increased in Australia National Energy Market (NEM). In that post we looked at the effect that make crowding and network congest...

3 years ago

A Book Offer

One of my day jobs is teaching the discipline of system safety, and I’ve been working on a course text book to support this. So in the original spirit of the Interwebz here’s a link to that text titled, System Safety: Theory and Practice. P...

3 years ago
1

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  • Critical Uncertainties

    Modernist and problematic. Uncertainty, systems theory and risk. No one is coming to save us people.

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