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Deer’s Newsletter

Deer Point Macro

Macroeconomics

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues53Founded4 years agoLast Issue16 days ago
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Latest Issues

August Macro Drop

Macro

U.S. labor supply remains constrained. Despite soft headline payroll growth, the unemployment rate fell 10bp to 4.09% in July, driven by a 264k decline in the labor force that more than offset an 87k drop in household employment. Thi...

16 days ago
8

Tight Spreads, Tougher Choices

With spreads near historically tight levels, the broad credit rally appears to be entering a more mature phase. While resilient growth, stable Fed expectations, and strong demand continue to support carry, the tailwind from further spread c...

a month ago
12
1

July Macro Drop

Summary

  • Labor market: At first glance, the latest employment report is difficult to interpret. The underlying signal remains noisy, and one month’s data does little to alter the broader macro narrative.

  • Fed outlook: The balance of...

2 months ago
23
3

Inflation's Crosswinds: Rates, FX, and Global Macro Risks

Introduction

Inflation is no longer a local story it’s the tide that’s reshaping rates, currencies, and global growth. As central banks tiptoe across tightropes and supply elasticity hits its limits, we’re about to unravel what’s next. Fro...

3 months ago
20
1

EM and DM World Macro

Introduction

Opportunity across both developed and emerging markets is increasingly being shaped by a synchronized shift in global macro conditions.

Within this backdrop, emerging markets have been a primary beneficiary. A softer U.S. d...

4 months ago
38
2

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