The diary of a speculator
Manjeet SinghTrading diary of a quantitative discretionary trader
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 55 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 10 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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manjeetsinghms.substack.comLatest Issues
Timing the Gold long trade
“If you have timed the movement correctly, your first commitment will show you a profit at the start.”― Jesse Livermore
When I analyzed more than six years of my trades in 2019, I discovered that my returns were inversely proportional to m...
Statistical analysis of the 10y US yield
In my previous note on July 10, 2026 ‘Time to go fishing’, I noted that, according to my S&P 500 regime model, it was time to step back and go fishing if you’re a long biased swing trader. Early August showed some opportunities, but overall...
Time to go fishing
“There is time to go long, time to go short and time to go fishing.” — Jesse Livermore
Hope everyone is having a fantastic summer!
My last post was on May 28. Since then, I’ve been busy enjoying summer with family, working on a research...
Astrophysics inspired momentum
I have no additional insights on current market conditions. The overall trend and momentum for US indices remain higher but are overextended. The Gamma and Vanna analysis for SPX indicates a negative outlook for June. We will see how it pla...
Dragon Hunting 2
Recap of my last note from Apr 18:
“The rally looks climactic to me, especially given that we did not see capitulation at the lows.
But the current setup of ‘positive momentum+uptrend+falling VIX’ has a 48.1% win rate (lower as SPX has r...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Quant discretionary trader. Former data scientist & Astrophysicist. I manage two quant strategies in my PA: i) a concentrated long-only equity strategy with a holding period of 6-18 months, & ii) swing long/short with a holding period of 4-8 weeks
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