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The diary of a speculator

Manjeet Singh

Trading diary of a quantitative discretionary trader

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues51Founded2 years agoLast Issue16 days ago
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Latest Issues

Dragon Hunting 2

Recap of my last note from Apr 18:

“The rally looks climactic to me, especially given that we did not see capitulation at the lows.

But the current setup of ‘positive momentum+uptrend+falling VIX’ has a 48.1% win rate (lower as SPX has r...

16 days ago
14
5

Exploring the right tail

"If you can learn to create a state of mind that is not affected by the market’s behavior, the struggle will cease to exist." — Mark Douglas

How can you not be affected by this loco market?

Recap of my last note from March 26: I analyzed...

a month ago
18
2

S&P 500 fundamentally derived levels

It has been over a month since I last wrote. I have been quite busy with a research project, trading, and enjoying the start of the spring season with my family. Let’s get down to business.

Recap of my last two notes:

Jan 28 note: ‘Volati...

2 months ago
32
5

Kpop Dragon Hunting

“Are you not entertained?” - Index volatility gods (or Gladiator)

Here’s a summary of my previous note: Stay long, but hedge your positions. Volatility is expected to increase bigly. February may see weakness because of a bearish Gamma and...

3 months ago
21
5

Elevated risk of vol spike

“There is no training, classroom or otherwise, that can prepare for trading the last third of a move, whether it’s the end of a bull market or the end of a bear market.” Paul Tudor Jones

The market remains active, but for systematic trader...

4 months ago
17
4

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  • Manjeet Singh

    Quant discretionary trader. Former data scientist & Astrophysicist. I manage two quant strategies in my PA: i) a concentrated long-only equity strategy with a holding period of 6-18 months, & ii) swing long/short with a holding period of 4-8 weeks

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