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Dirt Roads

Luca Prosperi

We observe value flowing through complex systems

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues69Founded5 years agoLast Issue2 months ago
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Latest Issues

# 68 | The Physics of On-Chain Lending (I)

“Everything in the universe can be modeled as a martingale process with a deterministic trend” — Prof. Süleyman Başak.

The foundation of modern derivative pricing rests upon the realization that, in a so-called complete market, the expecte...

2 months ago
36
10

# 67 | Tether in 2025: a Capital Analysis

From “#37 | Capital Structures for Stablecoin Protocols: the Revenge of the Sith”

When I graduated and applied for my first job in management consulting, I did what most ambitious yet spineless male graduates used to do: I chose the one fi...

6 months ago
28
5

# 66 | A Network Model of Money

“I see plans within plans” — Lisan al-Ghaib.

This note is symbolic by design. It may not offer immediate utility to practitioners or digital finance observers, yet it points, I believe, to one of the most critically neglected dimensions in...

a year ago
38
8

# 65 | Usual Money: a Valuation Framework

Disclaimer: as one of the co-founders of M^0, I have had extensive interactions with the Usual team, including collaborations, debates, and discussions on protocol mechanisms and yield distribution. While I strive to ensure that my research...

a year ago
21

# 64 | PREDICTION MARKETS (II): Spoiling the Election Love Story

Special thanks to Omer Goldberg, founder and CEO of Chaos Labs, whose insights made this piece possible. Not only for providing the data but, more importantly, for the invaluable philosophical conversations on oracle design and the nature o...

2 years ago
6
1

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