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Economics Uncovered

Steven Anastasiou

Unpacking the current state of, and outlook for, the US and global economy, with a particular focus on inflation.

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Substack
PricingOnly paid issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues106SubscribersRead economicsuncoveredresearch.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

PCE inflation remains too strong in March, but the medium-term outlook is more positive

While the PCE Price Index saw another month of elevated growth in March, a number of key factors are likely to contribute to a significant lessening of price pressures as the year unfolds.

10 days ago
5
0
Paid

US economic growth remained robust in Q1 and could accelerate in Q2 — but a very different story may emerge in 2H24

A deeper look at the latest US GDP data reveals continued robust growth, while 2Q24 GDP is set to be materially supported by a favourable comparable — though growth could materially weaken in 2H24.

12 days ago
4
0
Paid

US CPI Medium-Term Forecast Update: Don't rule out multiple rate cuts just yet

Just as markets got ahead of themselves by pricing in a peak of seven 2024 rate cuts in January, the recent string of hotter CPI reports may have caused an overreaction in the opposite direction.

15 days ago
8
0
Paid

Alternative BLS rental data points to major disinflation in CPI rents

As opposed to various private sector measures of spot market rents, the best leading indicator of OER & RPR is an alternative rental index produced by the BLS — it points to major disinflation ahead.

22 days ago
2
0
Paid

Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Steven Anastasiou

    Economist | Unraveling all things macro: with a focus on inflation & the money supply | Writes Economics Uncovered \ud83d\udcd6

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