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Home of the Justified Posteriors podcast + essays on economics from Andrey Fradkin and Seth Benzell.

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Latest Issues

Kevin Bryan on Bottlenecks, AI in China, and What Economists Should Actually Be Working On

This week we to with Kevin Bryan, Associate Professor of Strategy at the University of Toronto’s Rotman School, author of the legendary economics blog A Fine Theorem, co-founder of the ed-tech startup All Day TA, and the man behind one of t...

9 days ago
3
3

We need well-capitalized prediction markets for AI impacts

As our readers have surely noticed, there’s enormous disagreement about the likely economic effects of AI. Some AI forecasters, especially those emphasizing recursive self-improvement, expect AI capabilities to soon surpass that of most hum...

22 days ago
13
3

Seb Krier on AGI, the Coasean Singularity, and EDM

Seb Krier on AGI, Scaffolding, and Coasean Bargaining at Scale

In this episode of Justified Posteriors, we welcome Seb Krier — policy lead for AGI at Google DeepMind and excellent Twitter poster. Speaking in his personal capacity, Seb walk...

23 days ago
13

Improving our posteriors

The coming years will be filled with even more discourse and research about the economics of AI. As Seth likes to say: when writing research papers becomes cheaper, the returns to reading and synthesizing that research go up. We want to be...

a month ago
5

Avi Goldfarb on Prediction Machines, O-Ring Tasks, and How AI is Reshaping Economics

This week, we’re joined by Avi Goldfarb, one of the leading economists of artificial intelligence and co-author of Prediction Machines. Avi has been thinking seriously about AI economics long before the ChatGPT shock, so we asked him what h...

a month ago
6

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Andrey Fradkin

    Professor writing about AI, digital technology, marketing, economics, and academia. Also, some personal introspection along the way.

  • Rohit Krishnan
  • Séb Krier

    deep ArXiv dweller sharing half-baked thoughts. in house jester at DeepMind. collector of sounds

  • Brian Jabarian

    répétitions, fantômes, tempêtes, l’art et la manière.

  • Seth Benzell

    Co-Host of Justified Posteriors Podcast https://empiricrafting.substack.com/podcast

  • Alex Imas

    Professor at UChicago Booth. Doing research on Economics and Applied AI.

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