EPB Research
Economics and business cycles for asset managers & cyclical business owners.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 63 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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blog.epbresearch.comLatest Issues
The Iran War Just Derailed the Housing Recovery
Housing, or residential investment more specifically, is unquestionably the most important and leading sector of the economy.
Two months ago, the housing market was showing fragile signs of stabilization. New home sales had recovered from...
Half of US Home Prices Are at All-Time Highs. Half Are Underwater Since 2022
Half of the major US cities are at all-time highs in home prices right now. The other half just went through a true correction.
The same Federal Reserve, same mortgage rates, and same monetary policy, but two completely different housing...
The Housing Recession That Never Came — And The One That's Quietly Underway
In July 2022, the months supply of new homes hit 10.6 — higher than it reached before the 2008 housing crash.
At the exact same moment, the eight largest public homebuilders posted operating margins of 20.4%, the highest level in their re...
The Economy Has 158 Million Jobs. Less Than 15% Matter For Recessions.
If you wait for total nonfarm payrolls to turn negative before calling a recession, you will be right every time, but useful none of the time.
Across the last three recessions, manufacturing jobs peaked an average of 29 months before the...
The Residential Housing Sequence
Home prices are the most-watched piece of housing data, but home prices are also the most useless data point for understanding where the housing cycle is headed.
Whenever someone discusses the “housing market,” the first reaction is to thi...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
EPB Research is an economics-based research firm providing Business Cycle research to asset managers and business owners.
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