The Escalation Trap equips you with the frameworks to recognize when conflicts are shifting phases, anticipate the pressures driving escalation, and make clearer decisions before volatility hardens into irreversible commitments.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 114 | Founded | 3 months ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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escalationtrap.substack.comLatest Issues
Washington Strategy Forum Update — Expanded Afternoon Session
Over the past 48 hours, the response to Friday’s first Washington Strategy Forum has been far larger than I anticipated.
What began as a Substack community focused on escalation, coercion, and great-power politics is increasingly becoming...
June Could Be the Most Brutal Month Yet for the Global Economy
Not just shortages -- contraction. And most analysis is still missing what breaks next
(Given the importance of the issues now emerging around Hormuz, inventories, and global supply chains, I wanted to recirculate this analysis as markets,...
The Next Global Economic Shock From the Iran War Is About to Begin
Not just shortages -- contraction. And most analysis is still missing what breaks next
Two months ago, I warned paid subscribers that the Iran war was not simply creating an oil price spike. It was creating the conditions for shortages, su...
The Response to the First Strategy Forum Has Been Extraordinary
Over the past 24 hours, the response to our first Strategy Forum in Washington has been far larger than I anticipated.
What began months ago as analysis of escalation, coercion, and great-power politics is increasingly becoming something m...
Announcing the First “Strategy Forum”
Over the past months, this community has grown far beyond a newsletter.
What began as analysis of escalation, coercion, and great-power politics is increasingly becoming a real conversation among people across the political spectrum trying...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I teach at the University of Chicago and study how force is used to achieve political objectives, how escalation unfolds, and how strategies of restraint can succeed or fail in international and American political violence.
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