The Escalation Trap equips you with the frameworks to recognize when conflicts are shifting phases, anticipate the pressures driving escalation, and make clearer decisions before volatility hardens into irreversible commitments.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 191 | Founded | 5 months ago | Last Issue | 47 hours ago |
| Active | |||||
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escalationtrap.substack.comLatest Issues
Trump: “They Have Not Suffered Enough Yet”
What Happens When a City of Ten Million Loses Electricity -- Tehran
When President Trump declared yesterday that “They have not suffered enough yet,” he was not simply expressing frustration. He was “considering a massive attack. Bigger th...
The Impossible Drone Hunt: Why Reopening the Strait of Hormuz Could Be Far Harder Than Most People Realize
The operational analysis behind one of the most important questions raised in my Diary of a CEO interview
If you’ve just watched my conversation on Diary of a CEO, welcome.
Breaking Analysis #7: New Intel on Pick Axe Mountain -- Has Iran Already Won the Nuclear Race?
July 21 BLUF
Breaking Analysis is a new Escalation Trap series providing immediate assessments of major developments—not simply explaining what happened, but identifying the strategic logic that points to what is likely to happen next.
Can America Open Hormuz by the Midterms?
The Escalation Trap This Week: Staying Ahead of the Risks
America is unlikely to reopen the Strait of Hormuz before the November midterm elections.
Breaking Analysis #6: Why Aqaba?
July 19 BLUF
Breaking Analysis is a new Escalation Trap series providing immediate assessments of major developments—not simply explaining what happened, but identifying the strategic logic that points to what is likely to happen next.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I teach at the University of Chicago and study how force is used to achieve political objectives, how escalation unfolds, and how strategies of restraint can succeed or fail in international and American political violence.
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