Escalation Trap tracks the trajectory of the Iran war in real time, equipping you with frameworks to recognize shifts in escalation, anticipate what comes next, and understand the strategic and economic consequences before they become conventional wisdom.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 218 | Founded | 6 months ago | Last Issue | 4 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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escalationtrap.substack.comLatest Issues
Announcing the New York Strategy Seminar — August 19
Over the past several months, our community has become something larger than a Substack.
We have now held Strategy Seminars in Washington and Chicago, bringing members of our community together for serious, extended discussions about the I...
IRAN’S ENDGAME: WAIT OUT TRUMP
Breaking Analysis — August 13
Breaking Analysis is a new Escalation Trap series providing immediate assessments of major developments—not simply explaining what happened, but identifying the strategic logic that points to what is likely to...
How to Become a Founding Member
I have received a number of questions from readers asking how to become a Founding Member—and I realize I have not explained clearly enough how the subscription options on Substack work.
So here is the simple version.
There are four s...
A New Benefit for Founding Members
When I launched our Substack, many of you took a chance on this project before there was any guarantee of where it would go.
You were among the readers who helped make it possible for me to build something different: a publication focused...
Trump’s Unilateral Demands, Iran Doubles Down on Hard Power — A Collision Course
Escalation Trap This Week – Staying Ahead of the Risks
Last week, Iran’s Supreme National Security Council issued a set of unilateral demands for reopening Hormuz. This comes on the heels of weeks of hard-power moves—including Iranian stri...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I teach at the University of Chicago and study how force is used to achieve political objectives, how escalation unfolds, and how strategies of restraint can succeed or fail in international and American political violence.
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