Escalation Trap
Prof Robert PapeThe Escalation Trap equips you with the frameworks to recognize when conflicts are shifting phases, anticipate the pressures driving escalation, and make clearer decisions before volatility hardens into irreversible commitments.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 17 | Subscribers | Read | escalationtrap.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Victory Narratives Are Not Noise
They Are a Signal That Escalation is Coming
Victory Narrative vs. Escalation Reality
### The most dangerous moment in a war is when leaders believe the bombing has already worked.
Strategic Escalation Briefing --Iran
Sunday, 4:00 p.m. Central Time (CT)
Parallel Strategic Attack — Stage II of the Smart Bomb Trap
How infrastructure targeting, airport disruption, and sustained uncertainty signal a shift from retaliation to systemic coercion
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I teach at the University of Chicago and study how force is used to achieve political objectives, how escalation unfolds, and how strategies of restraint can succeed or fail in international and American political violence.
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