The Escalation Trap equips you with the frameworks to recognize when conflicts are shifting phases, anticipate the pressures driving escalation, and make clearer decisions before volatility hardens into irreversible commitments.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
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| Issues | 134 | Founded | 4 months ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
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Over the past several days, the Iran War has entered another important phase.
Only a short time ago, many observers believed the conflict was moving toward negotiations and eventual de-escalation.
Escalation Trap is a reader-supported pub...
Prof Pape on Breaking Points: Why the Iran War is Heating Up
Yesterday I joined Breaking Points to discuss why we are seeing escalation in multiple fronts in the Iran war – from Hormuz to Israel/Lebanon to new Houthi threats against Red Sea shipping
The most important change in the Iran War is this:...
Day 100: Why Iran’s Strategy Is Expanding – and the Ceasefire is Breaking Down
Escalation Trap This Week: Staying Ahead of the Risks that Matter.
Today marks Day 100 of the Iran War.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I teach at the University of Chicago and study how force is used to achieve political objectives, how escalation unfolds, and how strategies of restraint can succeed or fail in international and American political violence.
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