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Escalation Trap

Prof Robert Pape
Thousands of paid subscribers

Escalation Trap tracks the trajectory of the Iran war in real time, equipping you with frameworks to recognize shifts in escalation, anticipate what comes next, and understand the strategic and economic consequences before they become conventional wisdom.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues236Founded6 months agoLast Issue3 days ago
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Latest Issues

Live with Prof Robert Pape: Six Months of the Iran War

A recording from Prof Robert Pape's live video

3 days ago
108
12
Paid

BREAKING ANALYSIS: IRAN’S SUPREME LEADER REVEALS HIS STRATEGY FOR THE GULF

BLUF

The media is missing one of the most important developments in the Iran war.

In a series of statements over the past week, Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has revealed a great deal about how Tehran now sees the stra...

4 days ago
131
4

TANKERS ABLAZE, OIL ~$95, THE IRAN WAR ESCALATING

The Iran War is rapidly escalating.

Two supertankers carrying Saudi oil have been struck in the Strait of Hormuz. Two sailors are dead.

The United States has launched its biggest attacks on Iran since July.

Iran is asserting escalation d...

5 days ago
48
2

LIVE BRIEFING: SIX MONTHS OF THE IRAN WAR

When the Iran War began 185 days ago, the central question was simple:

Would Iran survive?

Six months later, that question has been turned upside down.

The central question now is whether U.S. forces will be forced out of the Persian Gul...

6 days ago
26
2

Six Months of the Iran War: Is Iran Becoming a World Power?

The Escalation Trap This Week – Staying Ahead of the Risks

The Iran war is now officially six months old.

6 days ago
60
6
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  • Prof Robert Pape

    I teach at the University of Chicago and study how force is used to achieve political objectives, how escalation unfolds, and how strategies of restraint can succeed or fail in international and American political violence.

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