In-depth analysis of US economic and Fed news.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 66 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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ethansharris.substack.comLatest Issues
The fading “Trump put”
The demise of the “put(s)” is bad news for the economy.
Is there a “Trump put?” Does the President modify or reverse policies when there is a negative response in the economy, public opinion or the equity market? I think the “Trump put” is...
After the Fed hikes
Fed officials and the markets are now on the same page, with near certainty of a rate hike this week. My long-standing forecast has been that the Fed would hike this week and in September, but there is a good case for three hikes in a row....
The Treasury-Fed discord
Warsh and Bessent strongly disagree on two policies.
There are two growing policy disagreements between Warsh and Bessent. They strongly disagree both on the appropriate direction of the funds rate and on intervention in the bond market.
Show me the money
Strong money growth is another reason for the Fed to hike.
Fed Chair Warsh wants more focus on the money supply. Here I look at why money aggregates fell out of favor, why they deserve some attention, and their current signal that monetary...
Trump’s pressure campaign…for higher rates
A major theme in Trump’s presidency has been pressure on the Fed to cut rates. In Powell’s first five months, the President gave him the benefit of the doubt. However, that honeymoon ended with a long series of escalating attacks on the cha...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Former US Chief Economist at Lehman Brothers and Global Head of Economics at Bank of America. Previously, Head of Domestic Research Division at the NY Fed. Ethan holds a Ph.D. from Columbia University and is the author of "Ben Bernanke's Fed."
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