Ethan on the Economy
Ethan S. HarrisIn-depth analysis of US economic and Fed news.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 43 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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ethansharris.substack.comLatest Issues
Low oil prices: a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma
I admit it: I’m very surprise at how much oil prices have dropped. My assumption has been that history would repeat. Even with a full, sustained reopening of the Straits I thought it would take a long time for prices to return to normal. De...
A five-way Fed policy divide
Until Warsh hits the "unmute button," the rest of the Committee will give very useful guidance on the outlook and risks to Fed policy.
While the differences are not large, there are now five camps when it comes to funds rate expectations....
Even the trimmed mean is getting stronger
Today’s PCE report for May underscored why the FOMC has turned hawkish. Growth remains resilient and core inflation remains high. This combination is likely to persist even if the drop in energy prices persists.
Ethan on the Economy is a r...
Who drives the bond market?
Warsh has surrendered the drivers seat to the data and the rest of his committee.
The market response to the Fed decision on the 17th was dominated by the change in forecasts by members. Unless Warsh comes out of hibernation, market expect...
Where’s Warsh?
He seems intent on hiding his views, but his commentary suggests he hasn't given up on the super dovish "golden age" argument.
Like everyone on the FOMC, Warsh strongly believes in the 2% inflation target. However, he also seems to still b...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 70 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Former US Chief Economist at Lehman Brothers and Global Head of Economics at Bank of America. Previously, Head of Domestic Research Division at the NY Fed. Ethan holds a Ph.D. from Columbia University and is the author of "Ben Bernanke's Fed."
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