In-depth analysis of US economic and Fed news.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 61 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 15 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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ethansharris.substack.comLatest Issues
It’s a great time to be a Fed pundit
Warsh’s decision to go radio silent on both his outlook for the economy and his reaction function is a big favor to the financial press, bond market investors and pundits like me.
The chattering class
In the past few months, particul...
No action in Jackson
Warsh will maintain his vow of silence on current policy.
While about half of the FOMC will contemplate hiking at Jackson Hole, Warsh is likely to maintain his vow of silence. I expect him to highlight the benefits of strong productivity a...
Squeezing a balloon: Bessent’s bond buyback
The knee jerk reacton to today’s move is a bull steepener in the bond market. However,I expect the small rally in the short end to turn into a small sell-off.
Today Treasury Secretary Bessent annouced that the Treasury would increase its b...
Task master: Warsh’s reform agenda
Warsh faces a huge uphill climb. I expect relatively few reforms to be enacted next summer.
Here I introduce a five-part series on Fed Chair Warsh’s task forces. My main initial thought is that relatively few reforms will be approved by th...
The Fed and the trials of Jobs
The July jobs report undercuts Warsh’s core argument for rate cuts. The supply side of the economy is weak, not strong, adding to upside inflation risks. It’s not a slam dunk, but I still expect the majority of the committee to vote for a r...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Former US Chief Economist at Lehman Brothers and Global Head of Economics at Bank of America. Previously, Head of Domestic Research Division at the NY Fed. Ethan holds a Ph.D. from Columbia University and is the author of "Ben Bernanke's Fed."
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