Thinking out loud about fear and facts
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
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| Issues | 87 | Founded | 6 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
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johnkroman.substack.comLatest Issues
As the violence decline approaches its end, how does the ARPA explanation hold up?
Plus, responding to critics
Greetings readers. I wrote the essay below at another outlet’s invitation, but they ultimately declined to publish it. Such is life in front of a blinking cursor. Now it is yours to enjoy. But it does not have t...
Financing Evidence-Based Prevention
With a little help from Matt Levine
One of my favorite truisms is that there are two kinds of people in the world. There are the kind of people in the world who tell you they are in sales. Then there are the kind of people who do not tell...
Comparative advantage versus competitive advantage and AI vs Human Beings
And why AI job loss in the professional classes isn’t inevitable
The point of this essay is to say that despite AI’s competitive advantages over humans in possibly all the things, humans have comparative advantages over AI that are likely...
A Deep Dive into Why Crime is Falling
I recently had the good fortune to go on the Jeff-alytics podcast and had a great discussion with Jeff Asher about the state of crime. We explored the COVID spike in gun violence, the ongoing crime decline, made some predictions about the f...
Why are so many women incarcerated?
Few women are incarcerated in the US, but a cost-benefit analysis finds that number is still way too high
This is sort of a bonus edition, so I will keep it pretty brief. Later today, I will be a part of a panel hosted by the Council on Cr...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I write about policy, mainly public safety: what works, what doesn't, and what's promising. Opinions are definitely mine alone.
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