Thinking out loud about fear and facts
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
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| Issues | 91 | Founded | 6 years ago | Last Issue | 12 days ago |
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johnkroman.substack.comLatest Issues
You Don’t Have to Call It Crime Prevention to Prevent Crime
Last week, the Council on Criminal Justice released a report with a self-explanatory title: What’s Driving the Homicide Decline? An Assessment by Leading Researchers. I was happy to be included in the meeting that produced the report and to...
Ranking 30 Cities on Homicide and Violence
I have written a few times about how big cities rank on homicide rates, and how those rankings change over time. There are several strong and valid objections to ranking cities. One objection is that fixed attributes of places affect crime...
Using near misses to estimate p(doom) in AI
Lessons from crime policy research
The point I want to make in this essay is that we spend way too much time arguing about and speculating on what value to assign to p in the p(doom) equation estimating the likelihood that humans will perm...
iCrime and Kia Boyz (Part I)
Standing at the corner of Avenue D and East 40th Street in the Flatbush neighborhood of Brooklyn, there is nothing particularly remarkable to see.
Standing at the corner of Avenue D and East 40th Street in the Flatbush neighborhood of Broo...
As the violence decline approaches its end, how does the ARPA explanation hold up?
Plus, responding to critics
Greetings readers. I wrote the essay below at another outlet’s invitation, but they ultimately declined to publish it. Such is life in front of a blinking cursor. Now it is yours to enjoy. But it does not have t...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
I write about policy, mainly public safety: what works, what doesn't, and what's promising. Opinions are definitely mine alone.
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