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FFT Market Insights

Market analysis focused on structure, not noise. Using FFT, volatility regimes, and cross-asset signals to identify regime shifts and changing risk conditions before they become obvious.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues70Founded4 months agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Something Strange Is Showing Up in VPL

Sometimes the purpose of research isn’t to make a prediction.

Sometimes it’s simply to write down what you see before you know how the story ends.

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Tha...

7 days ago
2

Three Months Later: Home Depot Is Still Sending the Same Message

On May 19, I published “Why Home Depot’s Weak State-Vector Matches Matter More Than the Earnings Beat.”

The central argument wasn’t that Home Depot was about to rise or fall.

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9 days ago

Research Notebook: The Treasury Curve Was Separating Before August 17

A follow-up to my last Treasury note: the long-end turn still isn’t confirmed, but the derivatives show something was changing underneath the curve before the headline move.

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9 days ago
4

Did the Treasury Market Just Turn? My Model Says Not Yet.

On August 15, I published Research Notebook #3 arguing that the Treasury turning point I was watching had not yet occurred.

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Two days later, the bond market d...

9 days ago
3

Research Notebook #3: The Treasury Turning Point That Hadn’t Happened Yet

There is a particular kind of result that makes me suspicious.

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It is the result that looks too good on a chart.

A smooth curve fits the data beautifully. Th...

12 days ago
3

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  • FFT Market Insights

    Market analysis focused on structure, not noise. Using FFT, volatility regimes, and cross-asset signals to identify regime shifts and changing risk conditions before they become obvious.

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