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Fidenza Macro

Geo Chen
Hundreds of paid subscribers

Global macro views from a trader with over two decades of institutional trading experience. Multiplied initial capital by 1000x with 100% skin in the game. Readers include hedge funds, banks, independent traders, and sovereign wealth managers.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues447Founded4 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
Active

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fidenzamacro.com
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Latest Issues

The Treasury buyback announcement is a nothing burger

The US Treasury surprised the market yesterday by announcing that they will increase buybacks of 20 to 30 year Treasury bonds from $2b to at least $4b.

The US Treasury surprised the market yesterday by announcing that they will increase bu...

7 days ago
5
2
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Markets In Limbo

Quiet periods like this don’t last long. I see three themes to keep an eye on and to position for over the next several months.

I had an aggressive vacation schedule this summer and wasn’t able to write as much as I would have liked. I was...

9 days ago
14
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Still cautious

Outlining two scenarios on how this current rebound will play out

Since my last post, when I spoke about the topping of the AI super-cycle, we’ve seen a rapid deescalation of the war in Iran and the implosion of Leopold Aschenbrenner’s fun...

22 days ago
21
1
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July 2026 - A turning point in the AI supercycle

March 2000. March 2008. January 2020. December 2022. Certain months stand out in my memory as turning points that preceded violent upheavals in markets. I believe we will look back on this past month in the same way.

After getting out of...

a month ago
37
13

AI vibe shift, broad market views

Breaking down the AI vibe shift, and how I'm trading stagflation fears.

Markets have been choppy over the past couple weeks, and ever since I exited my entire AI portfolio, I’ve been enjoying some time off traveling with my family. The tri...

a month ago
11
2
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  • Geo Chen

    Author of the Fidenza Macro blog fidenza.substack.com

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