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AAS Economics

Money supply and monetary liquidity are the essence of our research, following the multi-decade work of Dr Frank Shostak. We help you understand how these affect the economy and how to take advantage of them in your investment decision-making process.

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Latest Issues

ECB HIKES RATES - The Fed Next?

The European Central Bank (ECB) has just increased its policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.40% - its first tightening since September, 2023.

We were able to see this coming late last year using our ECB policy rate timing model. This model...

4 days ago
4
1

The US President “loves inflation”

Executive Summary

  • We challenge the mainstream view that moderate inflation is necessary for economic stability and argue that inflation is not a solution to economic weakness.

  • We define inflation as an increase in the money su...

4 days ago
8

WHY THIS INFLATION WAS NOT DUE TO OIL PRICES - And What's Coming.

The Iran-induced oil price spike is not the cause of the current increase in CPI inflation.

The US CPI data are reflecting money supply dynamics that were set in place nearly two years ago. That’s when we started to see the money supply gr...

5 days ago
7
1

German Industry - How Bad?

Over a year ago we remarked on the likely trajectory of the German industrial economy.

We later repeated the view that although values of certain growth variables at the time were negative there was an improving trend coming.

Were we righ...

6 days ago
1

Japan's Banks Crank Up the Printing

Japanese banks are now starting to lend at a rapid rate.

The yearly growth rate of bank loans increased to 6.3% last month from 5.9% in April. In May last year this number stood at 2.5%.

We’re getting close to lending growth last seen in...

7 days ago
4

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  • AAS Economics

    With a team comprising over a hundred years of collective economics and financial market experience, AAS Economics rigorously applies Austrian monetary economics to business cycle forecasting and asset allocation.

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