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Gesda Capital - Research

Peter Garnry, CFA

Our opinions and ideas about investing, companies, and financial markets.

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Latest Issues

Palantir and the rising political risk factor

Last year on 22 May 2025, I wrote the provocative publication Is Palantir just another tulip bubble? arguing that Palantir’s ascent had detached its valuation from reality as the expectations priced into the share price exceeded reasonable...

a month ago
13

SpaceX: AI, Starlink, and the USD 22.8 billion cash burn

I was actually writing a new publication called “The capital allocation waterfall” when the news broke last night about the S-1 filing from SpaceX. My experience looking at many S-1 filings back from the days of my previous employer is that...

3 months ago
18
4

When AI “eats” SaaS: panic, pricing models, and mispriced fundamentals

For over a decade, software companies and their stocks were a stable recurring‑revenue business with expanding profit margins as scale economies grew. They were a staple in growth portfolios and increasingly also in quality portfolios. They...

4 months ago
20

Oil shocks, power shocks, and the age of electrification

The war in Iran has closed off the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow water corridor through which about 20% of the world’s oil is shipped. As a result, the regional war has sent shock waves through oil markets, with Brent crude futures trading as...

5 months ago
11
3

The return machine

I was recently invited as a speaker for a group of investors and during the Q&A a person asked how investors should think about Novo Nordisk. What was the business outlook, and should he sell his shares or buy more?

This piece is my attemp...

5 months ago
15

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  • Peter Garnry, CFA

    CEO & Co-founder of Gesda Capital, an investment advisor managing a concentrated global equity fund. My interests include equity valuation, business strategy, capital allocation, compounding, history, physics, and football.

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