
Politics, AI, forecasting
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 30 | Subscribers | Read | pathgolden.substack.com |
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Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Democrats had a stellar night last November. From New Jersey to California, they beat expectations across the board and sent a strong signal that the nation is unhappy with President Trump. One indication of how big this was: the Polymarket...
The excitement of a midterm election is not felt equally around the US. Somewhere like Toledo, Ohio may see many millions in campaign spending next year, owing to competitive races for House, Senate and Governor. At the same time, general e...
When it comes to winning elections as a Democrat in the modern era, Joe Manchin is the GOAT. West Virginia is the second most pro-Trump state in the US, yet Joe Manchin won re-election there as a Democrat in 2018. Six years prior, he won by...
There’s no good way to spin yesterday’s election result for Republicans. They won a special election in Tennessee’s 7th District by just 9%, after it voted for Trump by 22% a year ago. That’s a 13% swing left, which if replicated nationwide...
The writers behind this newsletter.
Political forecaster, AI safety advocate, land tax guy
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