Golden Path
JessePolitics, AI, forecasting
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 37 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | a month ago |
| Active | |||||
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Alex Bores and the Fight for Humanity
Alex Bores, OpenAI’s Public Enemy Number One
You may not have heard of Alex Bores, Democratic candidate for Congress in New York’s 12th congressional district. But regardless of whether he wins or loses the primary, people will talk about...
Democrats should plan for Republican failures
Doug Jones, the only Democrat that Alabama has sent to the Senate in my lifetime.
Yesterday, Senator Bill Cassidy (R-LA) was defeated in his primary by one of the largest margins ever for an incumbent Senator. The reason is clear: he voted...
What if the AI line just keeps going up?
Earlier this week I posted this graph to X, the everything app:
This graph shows the growth of the AI company Anthropic’s annualized revenue run-rate (ARR) over time. For context, ARR is a measure of the company’s current revenue per unit...
Senate candidates should be good fits for their state
I’m a big fan of Dan Osborn. That time he ran an ad claiming his Republican opponent was anti-Trump because she called for Trump to drop out in September 2016 after the Access Hollywood scandal? Priceless! That time he overperformed Kamala...
Why don't the pundits believe in Bobby Pulido?
As someone who forecasts US House elections professionally, I’ve generally found there to be useful signal in the predictions made by Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. My sense is that they get access to private information (...
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Political forecaster, AI safety advocate, land tax guy
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