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About economics, policy, trade, and investment in Emerging Markets

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Latest Issues

Nu Holdings Ltd

Initiation of Coverage, 19 July 2026

Nu Holdings Ltd is the world’s largest digital bank, compounding a maturing customer base at the lowest cost to serve in global consumer banking, while a war-driven Brazilian rate shock has taken the mu...

3 days ago
6

Turkish Insurance Sector

Parts I, II and III of our primer pieced together a macro outlook for Türkiye as a mosaic of conclusions. Our view is that positive real policy rates held deliberately, for longer than the disinflation trajectory alone would imply, with for...

13 days ago
4

Turkey Primer, Part III

As per usual, our takes upfront:

  1. We believe that the “easy part” of inflation has already been mitigated, so we should expect higher rates for longer;

  2. In a period of high rates we don’t recommend banking on domestic consumption of d...

15 days ago
9

Long Hesai Group (HSAI) - the Eyes of Physical AI

Hesai Group (NASDAQ: HSAI / HKEX: 02525) is the world’s leading LiDAR manufacturer, founded 2014, headquartered in Shanghai. It designs and manufactures 3D LiDAR across three end-markets: passenger-vehicle ADAS, autonomous mobility (robotax...

20 days ago
8
2

Turkey Primer, Part II

Part I concluded that the CBRT had returned to inflation targeting (albeit with a Taylor rule inflation coefficient still below unity), that maintaining the lira afloat is a key part of the policy mix, and that a credibly orthodox central b...

a month ago
10

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  • Hedgehogs in the Fog

    Emerging Markets economic and investment analysis by two economists. In the sea of AI slop, we bring you institutional-level models that guide our capital allocation.

  • Ivan Ortega (Seliman Frazesam)

    Bimbus

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