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Latest Issues

China's Favorite American Idea

A few days ago Xi posed a question to Trump inside the Great Hall of the People: Can China and the US overcome the Thucydides Trap?

Not since George W. invoked democratic peace theory to justify invading Iraq has an obscure social science...

6 days ago
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Protest Movies; Trump in China; Basia Bulat

Office Hours — May 15, 2026

Welcome to Office Hours. Come in! This is a regular subscribers-only column where I share what I’m reading and watching, and respond to questions from readers.

9 days ago
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Polymarket is Making Wars More Dangerous

When investigators recently questioned an Israeli Air Force major about placing bets on upcoming strikes, the officer was apparently unfazed. “The entire squadron is on Polymarket,” he told them. “The entire air force is betting.”

Predicti...

11 days ago
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Kremlin Coup Chatter; Defectors and Revolutions; Nigerian Psych-Pop

Office Hours — May 8, 2026

Welcome to Office Hours. Come in! This is a regular subscribers-only column where I share what I’m reading and watching, and respond to questions from readers.

16 days ago
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Grave of the Fireflies; Replying to Kofman; Habibi Funk

Office Hours — May 1, 2026

Welcome to Office Hours. Come in! This is a regular subscribers-only column where I share what I’m reading and watching, and respond to questions from readers.

23 days ago
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Authors

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  • Seva Gunitsky

    current interests: great powers, autocracy, AI, late Soviet history (esp the 1991 coup), phil of social science. Associate professor and George Ignatieff Chair of Peace & Conflict Studies at University of Toronto

  • Michael Kofman

    Defense analyst

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