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Henri-Jean’s Globalbiodiesel Substack

Henri-Jean Bardon

Henri's experience and timely comments on the Biodiesel/Renewable diesel and SAF market gives you a unique angle on the vegetable oil markets, waste oils and regulatory framework across geographies.

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Latest Issues

The MOU Cracks Before BOGO Does

July BOGO widened $30/mt, but US strikes, $55 to $66/bbl product cracks and Hormuz energy flows at only 25% to 35% of normal point toward further escalation before the spread’s next major move lower.

The market delivered the opposite of wh...

2 days ago
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China UCO Jan-May Exports Spike +37%

SoH crossings recovered, but China’s 3.28 mmt annualized UCO export pace weighs on virgin vegoil, while Russian product risk, Antwerp refinery action and Brazil diesel imports keep diesel curve firm

MOU countdown: 52 days to August 16. Usi...

3 days ago
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Spreads Don’t Lie

Crude prices are responding to a quiet Iranian news cycle during Ashura, but inventories, freight, distillate spreads and options volatility show that the physical risk has not disappeared.

The jawboning is working, helped by an unusual ab...

4 days ago
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No Bids, No Normal

Crude traded peace, but Indian Oil’s failed Gulf shipping tender shows why Hormuz freight risk still supports diesel cracks, D4 RINs and biodiesel margins.

For biodiesel and RD traders, today was not about crude being down. WTI Jul fell $1...

6 days ago
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Talks Are Not a Deal

Flat energy is softer today, but cracks, RINs, Hormuz risk and US bean oil are still telling biodiesel traders not to relax.

Energy is trying to price relief, but the refining signal is not soft. Brent Aug was down $2.89 at $77.68, WTI Jul...

7 days ago
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  • Henri-Jean Bardon

    Unfiltered reads on biofuels, renewable diesel (HVO and SAF) and global trade flows. I track diesel curves, BOGO/BOPO, ARAG barge flows and political energy barrels with a trader’s lens: numbers first, no groupthink for less than $1 per day

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