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Herding Cats & Polls

Natalie Jackson

Exploring how politicians, the mass public, and cats are alike: They're all fickle, doing whatever suits them regardless of whether it makes sense, making life difficult for those who want to analyze them.

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Latest Issues

Polarization destroyed America 250 even before it became a Trump rally

I love the Fourth of July for many reasons, but this year feels buried in cynicism and grouchiness from my vantage point in DC.

And you know what? I’m over it.

Headlines on the left would have you believe the 250th anniversary is fa...

6 days ago
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Big News!

Big news from me today!

On this Substack, I usually post only links to my columns for National Journal, but today’s post is an announcement:

I’m formally launching my business - Centerline Research and Strategy, a public opinion...

8 days ago
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Why being a scummy guy isn’t disqualifying for elected office

I regret to inform you that in very few cases do scandals like Graham Platner’s (at least, what we know to this point) stop most partisans from voting for their side. The same will be true of Bill Paxton in Texas.

Why? Well, because, quit...

19 days ago
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How primaries and gerrymandering rig the system

On the heels of last night’s primaries, there’s plenty of “but what does it all MEAN?” discourse running around today. This post is the opposite. In my column for National Journal, published yesterday, I argue that primary outcomes mean ver...

a month ago
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Texas still isn't purple. Here's why.

In the wake of the Texas Republican primary runoff in the Senate race, a lot of people are drastically overreading the last couple of months of Talarico vs. Cornyn or Paxton polls. Yes, Talarico has the lead in almost every public poll sinc...

a month ago
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  • Natalie Jackson

    Survey researcher since 2006. Political science PhD. Independent pollster and columnist, National Journal. Nothing that I write is speaking for any organization I have worked for in past, present, or future - I only represent myself.

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