Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 733 | Founded | 7 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
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gelliottmorris.comLatest Issues
How many Trump voters does James Talarico need in order to win the Texas U.S. Senate race?
The math isn't as hard as people think. Democrats need to flip about 1 in 15 Republicans — turnout and independents do the rest.
Programming note: Slight change of editorial plans this week. My wife hasn’t given birth to our baby yet, so I...
Why so much election analysis is basically useless
Last Friday, I (reluctantly) wrote a long piece about the Democratic National Committee’s finally published “autopsy” of the party’s 2024 campaign. In that post I argued that the single biggest cause of Trump’s win was the economy/inflation...
Americans blame Trump for the cost-of-living crisis. Here's what they want done about it.
This article reports results from the May 2026 Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll (1,520 U.S. adults, online, May 18–19, ±2.7 points). You can read the main release here and our previous poll releases here.
All the writing and data...
The Texas Senate election is a tossup
I’m breaking my rule of not covering breaking news to write about tonight’s election results in Texas, my home state. (And hey, with a baby on the way, who knows how much longer I’ll get to stay up late and write when I should be resting?)...
Poll: Trump’s approval rating hits another low on prices as Democrats hit +8 on generic ballot
This article reports results from the May 2026 Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll. You can read our previous poll releases here. Subscribers to Strength In Numbers have access to additional visuals and a full archive of crosstabs here. Subs...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
data-driven journalist and author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS. i write about politics, public opinion, and elections using facts and math
Political scientist at the University of Denver. Author of multiple books on political parties and contributor to blogs, newspapers, etc.
Publisher, The Downballot
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