Elliott’s notebook
G. Elliott MorrisData-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and democracy
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 467 | Subscribers | Read | gelliottmorris.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
A revised method for measuring pollster quality, now published at 538
Today at 538 we unveiled our latest set of pollster ratings for the upcoming 2024 general election. This update includes grades for 540 polling organizations based on two key criteria: their empirical record of accuracy and methodological t...
Haley and Trump get a poll bounce before New Hampshire
People love a horse race, but the reality of the Republican presidential primary today is much less exciting. I’ll put things plainly: Although most states haven’t voted, if the polls hold, Donald Trump is already almost certain to be the p...
Happy Election Day -300!
I have seen enough social media posts about poll toplines, crosstabs, and averages this week that, if I had just woken up from a coma, I’d think it were November. In fact, it is only January 10th! There are no elections today! There is a Re...
Trump's 60% in primary polls could be more like 90% in delegate math
Here is a short Friday notebook post. I hope you have a restful weekend before the storm. (I’m talking about Iowa, but here in DC we’re also expecting a nor'easter!)
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
i am a data-driven journalist and author of the book STRENGTH IN NUMBERS writing primarily about politics, public opinion polling, elections and democracy.
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