Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 809 | Founded | 8 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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Join our private pre-election briefing for Founding Members!
The Downballot and Strength In Numbers join forces to make sense of the midterms
Readers, an exciting announcement below from David and me…
If the polls end up missing, this may have been our early warning sign
“Low-effort” survey respondents vote very differently than other poll-takers, and that could be biasing polls by up to 3.5 points against
The biennial freak-out over potential error in election polls is now in full force. Republicans, incl...
Polls and "fundamentals" basically agree about the blue wave
Hi everyone, Elliott here with a short business note before the main content. The months leading up to elections are always the biggest months of new revenue for this newsletter. But in the months after, there is a predictable churn of peop...
Paul Krugman, Elliott Morris, and David Nir on the blue wave
This is an upload of a guest appearance on Paul Krugman’s Substack, recorded September 30, 2026.
Watch this video on gelliottmorris.com.
Paul Krugman had David Nir, who co-hosts the SIN podcast with me, and me on his weekly intervi...
Amid rising diesel prices, Republicans turn against Trump for first time on handling inflation
It’s election season. Here’s my pitch to you to support this work with a paid subscription.
The next four weeks are like an extended Super Bowl for election analysts. It’s when our work to root your understanding of politics in the...
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data-driven journalist and author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS. i write about politics, public opinion, and elections using facts and math
Publisher, The Downballot
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