Honest Graft
David A. HopkinsThe promise and puzzles of American politics
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 43 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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honestgraft.substack.comLatest Issues
When Voters Prioritize Economics Over Culture, the Electoral Battleground Expands
Even when the results of an election can be fairly described as a “national wave” in favor of one party, the magnitude of the partisan shift is never uniform from coast to coast. And evidence suggests that this year will follow the same pat...
Will There Be a “Canada Effect” Along the Northern Border in the 2026 Midterms?
National elections are mostly fought and viewed through a national lens, and 2026 is no different. From one state to the next, candidates and parties are mostly fighting over the same few issues, while the state of the national economy and...
Why Is Kansas So Close?
The national partisan shift back toward the Democrats since 2024 has put electoral territory that had recently slipped away from the party back within its grasp. Democratic candidates are waging highly competitive campaigns for senator in O...
Why Campaign Spending Is Less Important Than Everybody Thinks
As Democrats continue to lead in the polls heading into the midterm elections, the Republican case for optimism increasingly hinges on the party’s apparent advantages in independent spending resources—a subject of extensive media attention...
Does It Matter That There’s No “Resistance II”?
As polling results in pivotal races continue to favor Democratic candidates in this year’s elections by increasing margins, the 2026 midterms are starting to feel distinctly reminiscent of 2018—when Democrats gained 41 seats in the House of...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Political scientist at Boston College & (co-)author of Polarized by Degrees / Asymmetric Politics / Red Fighting Blue / Presidential Elections. I blog about American politics at Honest Graft.
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