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Inference & Intelligence Lab

Lin Jia

Inference & Intelligence Lab covers statistical inference, causal inference, ML, and GenAI evaluation for trustworthy decisions. Two series: Causal Inference From the Ground Up and Inference in the Wild.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues23Founded5 months agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Two Ways to Measure Demand, and When the Market Lens Matters

📊 "Demand" can mean more than one thing.

In day-to-day analysis, it's the chart in front of us: sessions, searches, transactions, conversion rates.

These are real, valuable numbers, and strong teams track them closely. They capture one l...

7 days ago

GenAI in Experimentation: Notes from the Panel and the Sidelines

🎤 The GenAI & Experimentation panel at Booking.com's 3rd Experimentation Conference covered roughly four questions in 20 minutes — I was invited to join the panel discussion alongside David Gregory (Skyscanner), Marcel Toben (Zalando), and...

16 days ago

The Causality Gap: Measuring the True Impact of Voluntary Adoption in Digital Marketplaces

A feature can create value and still fail the experiment.

In marketplaces, many features depend on users or partners choosing to opt in — loyalty programs, vouchers and incentives, partner optimization tools, email messaging. That creates...

19 days ago
1

The Causality Gap: Measuring the True Impact of Voluntary Adoption in Digital Marketplaces

Across the tech industry, many of the most valuable features rely on voluntary adoption. A traveler chooses whether to join a loyalty program, or a marketplace seller decides whether to opt into a smart-pricing tool. Because you cannot forc...

21 days ago

GenAI Literacy Isn't Usage

This is the first Field Note — a new short-form series running alongside Inference in the Wild and Causal Inference from the Ground Up. These are reflections from the day-to-day of working as a senior data scientist: the small judgment call...

a month ago

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  • Lin Jia

    From causal inference foundations to production-grade intelligence—solving the messy problems of modern Data Science.

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