Institutional Economics
Stephen KirchnerEconomics, finance and public policy.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 405 | Founded | 7 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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stephenkirchner.substack.comLatest Issues
'One way or another': market hopium versus NACHO and expected conflict duration
Plus, the federal budget, inter-gen equity and long-run productivity growth
Robert Kagan had a compelling piece in The Atlantic arguing that ‘there will be no return to the status quo ante, no ultimate American triumph that will undo or ov...
From TACO to NACHO
Plus, recalibrating the Canadian economy for negative population growth
We can all thank Paul Krugman for NACHO - not a chance Hormuz opens. The Trump administration continued to turn over its approach to Iran almost every other day this w...
US productivity growth, Treasury yields and AI
Plus, the war comes home
The advance estimate for US Q1 real GDP came in at a SAAR of 2% and nominal GDP growth at 5.6%. Private investment contributed nearly 1.5 percentage points to the headline growth figure, with the bulk of that refle...
War and the second moment in US equities
Where's the vol?
Alexander Altmann at Barclays Equity Tactical Strategies had a piece (highlighted by John Authers) pointing out that 30-day realised volatility for the S&P 500 during Trump 2.0 has, so far at least, been identical to that...
For whom the Strait tolls
Not for equities apparently
US equities have made new record highs, recovering from a peak draw down of around 10% from the previous pre-war records highs made in late January. US Treasuries and gold remain firmly underwater. Suffice to sa...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 69 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Financial market, think-tank and academic economist based in Sydney, Australia. Views expressed in this newsletter are my own and should not be attributed to current or previous employers.
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