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Invariant

Devin LaSarre
Hundreds of paid subscribers

Valuation. Business analysis. Investing. Finance meets curiosity, creativity, and skepticism.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues219Founded4 years agoLast Issue10 days ago
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Latest Issues

British American Tobacco: Narrowed

H1'26 note.

“We continue to generate strong cash returns. We expect to be within our 2 to 2.5x target leverage corridor by year-end, while continuing to reward our shareholders with our progressive dividend and GBP 1.3 billion share buybac...

10 days ago
24
2
Paid

Philip Morris International: Juggernaut

Q2'26 note.

“The composition of our growth, once again, highlights the consistency and sustainability of our model with stable to growing volumes, durable pricing power, and superior smoke-free economics continuing to be the primary driver...

17 days ago
26
2
Paid

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars

“War is a continuation of politics by other means.” - Carl von Clausewitz

Spend any time following the nicotine industry, and it is inevitable that, over time, you will be steered toward the conclusion that, yes, volumes matter, but they...

23 days ago
21

Flash in the Pan

“Rude contact with facts chased my visions and dreams quickly away, and in their stead I beheld the horrors, the corruption, the evils and hypocrisy of society, and as I stood among them, a young wife, a great wail of agony went out from my...

a month ago
23
2

Pouches Poised for Prime Position

“I always avoid prophesying beforehand, because it is a much better policy to prophesy after the event has already taken place.” - Winston Churchill

On June 30th, the FDA announced that it had issued modified risk granted orders to PMI’s S...

a month ago
25

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