Jill Cetina, CFA's Substack on all things macro-finance, banking, regulation, fixed income markets and financial stability
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 152 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
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jillcetina.substack.comLatest Issues
More Inflation Ahead with Sticky Services, Tariffs and Iran; Less Anchored Inflation Expectations Means Higher Rates, a Late Fed and AI Credit Crossroads in 2027
Forthcoming Oct 2026 Treasury Talk BTRM column
In my Sept column, I sketched out a coming macro fork in the road between elevated inflation with stagflation risk or recession. As we enter October, the macrofinancial landscape is growing ev...
So, how sensible are sovereign ratings anyway?
France on my mind...
This evening Moody’s completed its periodic review of France’s sovereign rating and left the government’s rating unchanged at Aa3 with a continued negative outlook.
Dogs of war almost off the leash again…
Well, it seems that we are on the verge of renewed hot conflict with Iran.
The US is evacuating diplomats in the Gulf region and the Russians are evacuating from Iran.
A new phase to the conflict that results in Iranian destruction of pr...
The fallen angel problem: taking a look at Oracle and CoreWeave bond covenants...
Produced with AI assistance as part of my classroom project to get my students to look more closely at bond prospectuses
This note provides a covenant analysis comparing Oracle Corporation’s $6.25 billion senior notes offering with CoreWea...
More signs of higher inflation
Headline Sept PPI came in hotter than expected and outside the range of survey forecasts.
Headline Sept PPI came in hotter than expected and outside the range of survey forecasts.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Jill is an Executive Professor of Finance at Texas A&M and was an Associate Managing Director for U.S. banks at Moody's. Jill was a vice president at the Dallas Fed and has worked for at the U.S Treasury, Fed Board, and the OCC.
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