Macro-Financial Analysis and Banking (M-FAB)
Jill CetinaJill Cetina, CFA's Substack on all things macro-finance, banking, regulation, fixed income markets and financial stability
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 110 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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jillcetina.substack.comLatest Issues
June 2026: Loose US Financial Conditions, Compounding Risks for Bank Treasury
My forthcoming BTRM Bank Treasury Talk column for June
As some of my Substack readers know, I publish a monthly column for the Certificate of Bank Treasury Risk Management. I am hoping that it will drop tomorrow but I wanted to go ahead an...
How Long Can Above Target US Inflation Last?
Surely it must be reasonable for FOMC to take a wait and see approach until Sept to begin to raise rates?
In 2020, Covid supply shocks coupled with simultaneous monetary and fiscal stimulus resulted in inflation that was more than transit...
Team Transitory 2.0
I offered some reflections on Friday’s strong US employment report here.
I offered some reflections on Friday’s strong US employment report here.
Initial thoughts on new US tariff announcement related to forced labor even as things heat up in the Strait of Hormuz
Forget about possible disinflation coming from the recent Supreme Court ruling overturning IEEPA tariffs and coming July expiration of temporary Section 122 tariffs as a partial offset to the negative supply shock from the Strait of Hormuz’...
H4L commodity prices and two stages of grief over the major US foreign policy error of the Strait of Hormuz
The market’s baseline outlook on the Strait has been that a peace deal will happen.
My baseline outlook remains that there is not an easy off-ramp to the Strait being closed and H4L energy and commodity prices will persist.
Nothing abou...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 72 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Jill is an Executive Professor of Finance at Texas A&M and was an Associate Managing Director for U.S. banks at Moody's. Jill was a vice president at the Dallas Fed and has worked for at the U.S Treasury, Fed Board, and the OCC.
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