Jill Cetina, CFA's Substack on all things macro-finance, banking, regulation, fixed income markets and financial stability
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
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| Issues | 136 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
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jillcetina.substack.comLatest Issues
September FOMC
I spent the last two days in DC so just a quick note before I jump on the plane home.
I expect the FOMC to raise interest rates by 25 bps at next week's FOMC meeting.
That said, the more important issue will be the Sept FOMC press co...
Where do we go from here -- US banks, the economic outlook and CRE?
Sharing the current version of my slides for an upcoming talk at a US banking event...though could revise some depending on Treasury buyback developments next week
I will be speaking at the Concentrate banking conference in Austin on Sept...
“Escalating to de-escalate?”
A thought has crossed my mind — with the long US Labor Day weekend on the horizon does the US plan for conflict with Iran to intensify significantly while US financial markets are closed?
A thought has crossed my mind — with the long US La...
The rise in long-dated bond yields takes a pause -- are markets wondering if some form of Treasury QE-lite is on the horizon?
The Treasury and Fed have left financial markets the following breadcrumbs:
•Early August Treasury Quarterly Refunding announcement – “changes” vs “increases” in Treasury coupon auctions — these could be read as hints at cuts to long-dated...
Treasury QE-lite through shorter weighted average maturity (WAM) and buybacks are a risk and may ease US financial conditions, keep inflation elevated and create destabilizing positive feedback loops
Slides at the end of the post for subscribers
- Long-dated Treasury yields have risen notably – pressuring other asset classes. High inflation, an inflation tolerant/highly recession risk adverse Fed and lack of US fiscal reform are erodin...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Jill is an Executive Professor of Finance at Texas A&M and was an Associate Managing Director for U.S. banks at Moody's. Jill was a vice president at the Dallas Fed and has worked for at the U.S Treasury, Fed Board, and the OCC.
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