Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM)
Claudia SahmMy goal is to make economic policy and macroeconomics better.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 185 | Subscribers | Read | stayathomemacro.substack.com |
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| #78 | |
| #111 |
Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
No, you didn't invent the Sahm rule and that's ok, we need more tools! - Revised
I am sending a more ‘just the facts’ version of Friday’s post on the Sahm rule.
No, you didn't invent the Sahm rule and that's ok, we need more tools!
Main takeaway: The Sahm rule indicates that the U.S. economy is in the early months of a recession. It is not a forecast. Any rule for forecasting or anything other than the U.S. (national) economy is not the Sahm rule.
Clarification on Connecting the dots: March FOMC edition
I updated the “In closing” section above the paywall based on a reader’s question. I explain more clearly why the “do nothing” to the dot plot would be the best action for the Fed this week. I am a long-standing critic of the dot plot as a ...
Connecting the dots: March FOMC edition
The Fed won't do anything to its policy interest rate this week. But its 'words and dots' could raise interest rates for consumers and businesses, possibly substantially.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Founder of Sahm Consulting, former Federal Reserve and White House economist.
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