A newsletter than explains the underlying mechanics of the financial system and then uses those mechanics to make projections
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 145 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 9 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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johncomiskey.substack.comLatest Issues
Fall 26 QRA Projection and Treasury Model Update
Treasury issued a 25b cash management bill on Monday.
Treasury issued a 25b cash management bill on Monday. Why do that when the TGA balance was near 1 Trillion? Because of the TGA risk policy minimum level. Treasury was going to be below...
Updated FY27 Treasury Model
Did the TTM outperform Treasury Jul-Sep?
Prior to the Apr-Jun qtr, the Total Treasury Model (TTM) had a streak of 4 straight qtrs outperforming Treasury’s internal models used to generate the Financing Need projection in the QRA for the fr...
September 26 FHA Delinquency Report
Understanding the FHA delinquency trend has required some adjustment over the past two months due to the 1st business day of the month falling on the 3rd in August (one expects “better” DLQ performance especially in the 1 and 2 month late b...
August 26 FHA Delinquency Report
Are the completed post tightening mods and partial claims improving portfolio performance?
I led off last month with an explanation of why the number of loans 1 month and 2 months late in the GNMA data can seemingly buck the seasonal trend...
August Treasury Model Update
The buybacks are coming?
Last weeks exciting news was Treasury announcing that they would double the amount of buybacks for the 10-20y and 20-30y maturity buckets from as much as 2b per operation to as much as 4b per operation. Note I use...
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