The Last Mugwump
John HaskellAn independent take on parties and politics
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 97 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 25 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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johnhaskell.substack.comLatest Issues
Mike Johnson cites "irreconcilable differences" to explain his difficulties
It’s old news that Speaker of the House Mike Johnson has a tough time running the House. His margin for error is tiny, and there often isn’t sufficient consensus among party members to pass even uncontroversial things.
During a recent bro...
The House is likely to go to the Democrats
In the last post we looked at the state of the race for the Senate, the best guess being that Republicans will retain the majority, albeit probably a slimmer one than the 53-47 edge they now hold. For the House the outlook is better for Dem...
Can Democrats really win the Senate?
The Senate stands 53-47 Republican in the current Congress, meaning Democrats need to gain the four seats in November for a majority. A three seat pickup leaving the chamber at 50-50 would result in a Republican advantage since the vice pre...
What can we learn from the results of the Hungarian election?
The most obvious lesson from Hungary is that the voters showed that even a deeply entrenched illiberal government can be defeated — and decisively. The win was so big, with 2/3 or more of the legislature going to the Tisza party, that the w...
Who's up, who's down in 2028 presidential race
We haven’t taken a look at the presidential contenders for several months. Let’s consider who’s up and who’s down, even way down, since the previous ratings.
DEMOCRATS FIRST1:
1. Governor Gavin Newsom [no change]
Many observers have N...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I am a political scientist who is interested in Congress and the party system, with other interests ranging from the function and dysfunction of the academy to contemporary literature.
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