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Josh's Substack

Josh Malizzi

My personal Substack

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues10Founded4 months agoLast Issue3 months ago
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Latest Issues

The Trade Count Secret: Why Most Trading Systems Fail Out-of-Sample

Most traders obsess over Profit Factor, Sharpe Ratio, Monte Carlo tests, Walk-Forward testing, and regime filtering. But there is a deeper principle underneath all of it. It does not directly improve your equity curve. It does not optimize...

3 months ago
11
3

Superpower in Trading: How Portfolios Crush Risk

Most traders spend their time obsessing over individual systems. The perfect entry. The perfect indicator. The one setup that “finally works.” But professional traders, the ones who survive decades, not months, obsess over something very di...

4 months ago
7
3

What Are the Core Indicators You Can Use to Build Trading Algorithms?

I came across a question recently that seems simple on the surface, but it’s one of those questions that gets more interesting the longer you’ve been building systems:

“What are the core indicators we can use to build algorithms?”

Thanks...

4 months ago
4

Do Support and Resistance Breaks Actually Work? A Systematic Test

Shout-out to

This post is based on a good question you raised about whether a stock breaking a support level is a signal that it will continue lower, and whether breaking a resistance level implies further upside. Since traditional suppor...

4 months ago
5
5

Using Monte Carlo Permutation to Help Validate Signal Edge

One of the hardest problems in systematic trading is not finding strategies that make money in a backtest.

It is figuring out whether they did anything special at all.

Thanks for reading Josh's Substack! Subscribe for free to receive new...

4 months ago
6

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  • Josh Malizzi

    I analyze markets through statistics, systematic testing, and probability theory. I don’t predict prices, I measure edge, stress-test it across regimes, and show how portfolios transform ordinary systems into professional-grade strategies.

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