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Lant Pritchett

development economist

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues13Foundeda year agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

The Incredible Credulity Revolution (Scope, Extreme Poverty)

The “credulity revolution” asked for evidence free faith that better evidence about specific poverty interventions could add up to an alternative agenda for poverty reduction. This, however, ignored overwhelming evidence that country povert...

7 days ago
30
1

The impact of immigration on wages in the USA: Do economists disagree? If so, why?

It might seem that economists have sharp and large disagreements about the impact of immigration on the wages of native born workers. But actually there is a quite broad consensus that for all large groups of native born workers the aggegat...

23 days ago
16
2

The Incredible Credulity Revolution: The Incoherence of External Validity (concrete example)

Suppose your job as a quartermaster is to assign every man a pair of pants. And suppose that when asked men typically lie a bit about how tall they are (hence the focus on men). Their self-reported height therefore lacks “internal validity”...

23 days ago
28
7

The Incredible Credulity Revolution: The Incoherence of External Validity (short version)

The very logic that led to the “credibility revolution” also implies that any claim that “credibility revolution compliant” (CRC)1 estimates of causal effects (e.g. those that have convincing methods to produce “internal validity”) have any...

25 days ago
11

Ageing is (in) the future for the USA

In the first Matrix movie Agent Smith is holding Neo down on the subway tracks as a train approaches and says: "You hear that, Mr. Anderson? ... That is the sound of inevitability…”

Demography has that flavor. Over the medium run (10 to 30...

a month ago
9
1

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  • Lant Pritchett

    development economist

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