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Long-Term Pick

Dan

Strategic investment insights and in-depth stock research. Focused on high-quality companies with long-term growth potential.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues97Founded2 years agoLast Issue5 days ago
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longtermpick.com
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Latest Issues

Visa: 14% EPS Growth Expected, 11% Needed

Visa: 14% EPS Growth Expected, 11% Needed

TL;DR: Visa (V) operates the largest card payment network in the world and earns a small fee on almost every purchase that goes through it, without lending money or taking credit risk. The Q4 FY202...

5 days ago
12
1

LTP Portfolio #004: October Overview, Back Above All Four Benchmarks

The portfolio gained 1.95% in a month when the S&P 500 lost 0.93%. Netflix is the first watchlist stock to join the portfolio, and Reddit lost 36% in a month.

TL;DR: October was a good month: the portfolio gained 1.95%, while the S&P 500 l...

7 days ago
5
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Netflix: The Stock Fell 50%, Earnings Grew 25%

Netflix: The Stock Fell 50%, Earnings Grew 25%

TL;DR: Netflix (NFLX) has more paid memberships than any other streaming service, and it earns almost all of its revenue from subscriptions and a growing part from ads. The Q3 2026 report was...

12 days ago
7

Long Bonds at 5.4%: Why I Hold EDV, and What It Costs Me

EDV is 58% below its 2020 peak, and the Fed is raising rates again. I honestly tested my four reasons for holding long bonds against 98 years of history.

TL;DR: Long Treasuries just went through the worst period in the data: 2022 was the w...

19 days ago
5
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LTP Watchlist #002: October Update, 6 of 10 Stocks in the Buy Zone

The same 6 names as in September are in their zones, and every one of them is cheaper now. The estimates barely moved.

TL;DR: This is the monthly recheck of my watchlist, as of October 09, 2026. All 10 names still pass my screens, so nobod...

a month ago
6
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