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Lucy’s Substack

Red Silicon

My personal Substack

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues38Foundeda year agoLast Issue5 days ago
Active
Language
ZH-TW

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Latest Issues

當程式碼不再稀缺,資本真正願意付錢的是什麼?

AI 正在快速降低寫程式的成本,但沒有同步降低 review、測試、安全與長期維護的成本。美國創投資金並未離開 AI,而是高度集中到少數超大型輪次;對其他團隊而言,證據門檻反而提高。開源社群的價值不只在分發,而在於用公開治理、持續行為與責任升級,生產一種可被客戶與資本共同驗證的信任。Star 只能代表能見度;真正有價值的是生產採用、重複貢獻與淨維護負擔。

上週,我在北京的 Community Over Code Asia 2026 做了一場 keynote。

這是 Apa...

5 days ago

梁文鋒 2026年 投資人會議完整逐字稿(英文版/中文版)

  • leaked 4-hour investor meeting transcript for DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng English Version
  • 梁文鋒與投資人的4小時對話錄音逐字稿

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24 days ago
2

Anthropic 每月燒 12.5 億租算力,中國模型卻用 1/30 的價格逼近盈利

AI 基礎設施每年投入上萬億美金,但帳到底算不算得過?我用「每 GW 算力」當統一單位拆了一遍:美國付費推論層每 GW 成本約 $130 億、收入約 $300 億,毛利 50%+。Anthropic 願意用 3 倍溢價租 SpaceX 的 GPU 集群,因為收入撐得住。但中國模型以 1/30 的 API 定價、靠 MoE 架構 + 國家算力補貼,正在逼近同等水準的單位經濟效率。這篇文章把多空雙方的帳都算清楚,給創業者、投資人、和用模型的人各一個判斷框架。

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今年一...

2 months ago
3

LLM 把舊世界的「不可能三角」鬆動了

剛從台北的 ComputeX 回到上海,第一次參加 ComputeX 的我有許多感觸,其中一個是:展會上台灣硬體那一側的能力是壓倒性的。

從晶片到模組到整機,供應鏈密密麻麻地咬合在一起,每一環都做到了極致。

但軟體那一側,我看到的大多是「一層貼在硬體之上的軟體」,目的是把某個硬體規格或者某項硬體功能「用起來」。我認為這種產品設計的邏輯是「從下往上」的:硬體能做什麼,於是配一個軟體,把這個能力暴露出來。

這和我在中國親歷的那套產品思維,是相反的。移動互聯網和 SaaS 那...

2 months ago
2

我飛去台北參加 GTC 2026,讓我停下腳步的,不是 Robin 的 C2C 架構——而是宇樹。

舞台上究竟發生了什麼

黃仁勳這次發布的不只是一顆新晶片,而是一個全新的平台。

Isaac GR00T 人形機器人參考系統,將輝達的 Jetson Thor 運算模組——基於 Blackwell 架構打造——與宇樹 H2 機體配對,作為標準參考硬體。機身擁有 31 個自由度,雙手各 25 個自由度,由 Sharpa 製造,本機算力達到 2,070 TOPS(FP4 精度)。

這不是一台展示用的概念機,而是一套研究級、可量產出貨的系統,目前已確認將交付給史丹佛大...

2 months ago

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  • Red Silicon

    As an expert in investment and strategy, I specialize in China's tech innovation landscape and business development. I provide strategic, actionable insights on technology market trends and value generation opportunities across these sectors.

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