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Lucy’s Substack

Red Silicon

My personal Substack

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues44Founded2 years agoLast Issue17 days ago
Active
Language
Korean

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Latest Issues

GPT-6 Astra “反蒸餾”信號:中國 AI Labs怎麼追?

當模型真正拉開差距的地方,越來越是 computer use、tool use 和長程 Agent 任務,蒸餾者需要重建的就不只是一份訓練數據,而是任務、環境、Verifier、rollout 和 RL 的整套系統。這一期解釋 Astra 的“反蒸餾”到底難在哪裡,以及中國 AI Lab 已經提前在做什麼。

17 days ago
1

開源正在重新安排 AI 軟體供應鏈的權力

AAIF 成立不到一年,第一次把基金會旗艦活動 AGNTCon + MCPCon 帶到中國上海。

上一個雲端週期裡,開源把基礎軟體變成標準零件,最大的商業價值卻流向負責託管、組合和管理這些零件的雲端平台。這個 AI 週期,開放權重和開放協議正在讓模型、Agent 與工具逐漸零件化,商業價值也可能向負責路由、權限、安全、稽核、計量與結算的 Agent 控制層集中。

中國已經證明自己可以快速增加開放模型與工程元件的供給,下一步要解決的是如何從零件供應走向協議實作、企業治理與價...

17 days ago

GPT6 Astra 新架構如何讓中國Lab的蒸餾變難了?

GPT‑6 Astra 發布後,中國 AI 圈很快出現一種說法:美國終於找到「反蒸餾」的方法,中國模型要追趕前沿模型會變得更困難。

我認為方向大致正確,但重點並不是 OpenAI 突然發明了某種反蒸餾架構。

Astra 真正值得注意的變化,是前沿模型的能力愈來愈難被還原成一段外部可以觀察、複製的自然語言推理軌跡。

OpenAI 公布的 system card 顯示,Astra 在不使用 CoT 的條件下,能完成比前代困難得多的任務。UK AISI...

22 days ago
4

輝達為什麼要買 Hugging Face?它正在為「GPU 金融帝國」尋找租客

9 月 2 日,Bloomberg 報導輝達正在接近一筆約 140 億美元的交易:收購 Hugging Face 的基礎對價可能是 129 億美元,另有約 10 億美元的員工留任方案。雙方仍未簽署最終協議,價格和時程都可能改變。

Hugging Face 據報年化營收約 1.5 億美元,129 億美元相當於約 86 倍營收,也接近它 2023 年 45 億美元估值的三倍。用軟體公司的收入去解釋這個價格,幾乎不可能得到合理答案。

我認為輝達真正想買的,不是 Hugging...

24 days ago
4

宇樹科技不是中國的Figure(附IPO招股書)

宇樹科技已經跨過「只有技術、沒有收入」的早期階段。2025 年經審閱營收達 17.08 億元人民幣,人形機器人也首次超過四足機器人,成為最大的收入來源。

但招股書同時說得很清楚:宇樹已經量產的是機器人的身體;通用具身大模型仍在基礎研究與測試階段。

我把這份 364 頁的招股書整理成一份 9 頁繁體中文分析報告,從收入、產品組合、毛利、研發、治理、估值與募資用途,拆解宇樹真正已經證明的能力,以及仍待驗證的風險。

完整資料包售價為 US$5,包含招股書原文與分析報告。付款後...

a month ago

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  • Red Silicon

    As an expert in investment and strategy, I specialize in China's tech innovation landscape and business development. I provide strategic, actionable insights on technology market trends and value generation opportunities across these sectors.

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