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Luke Graham White

Luke White

Markets, cycles, sovereignty — and the larger game all of it is nested inside.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues12Founded2 months agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

The Fed: A Record of Regimes

This is Part II of a three-part series.

Part I: The Vise and the Broken Lever is where you should start.

The Vise and the Broken Lever

The organizing idea: every chair inherits the last one’s overcorrection. The Fed does not move throu...

5 days ago
7
2

The Vise and the Broken Lever

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. This names a Fed call, a market read, and the cycle work under both. I hold it with conviction, not certainty — the cycle model is the most reliable lens I have, and I won’t publish its track record until it’s been thr...

7 days ago
16
11

The Leg Unrun

$1,773.94. Roughly 64 percent below a high it touched exactly once, last August. The “ultrasound money” thesis is dead, the L2s ate the fee revenue, the Foundation is shrinking, ETH/BTC printed a fresh 2026 low last week — and your timeline...

19 days ago
21
6

Rotation Compresses

I organized music festivals for a living, and long before that I threw parties in high school. The operations were the part I was good at — the ingress, the egress, the read on a room. So trust me on this, because I have watched it more tim...

a month ago
20
5

Thank you — and what comes next

This week, we climbed to #12 on Substack’s Rising Bestsellers in Finance — alongside names like Doomberg, Quoth the Raven, and Michael Burry. I didn’t put us there. You did. So before anything else: thank you.

And there’s a small change to...

a month ago
8
2

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  • Luke White

    Markets & Sovereignty. Cycles, history, and the structural forces moving capital — and the common thread underneath the data.

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