Macro Is Dead
Peter FaracA detailed obituary to macro trading. A deep-dive into when, why and how it died.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Infrequently |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 29 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 4 months ago |
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macroisdead.comLatest Issues
Stop asking "when?". The US has already defaulted!
The dominance of fiscal over monetary policy has finally become mainstream.
My prior work in quantifying the direct effect on growth of fiscal stimulus, which, unlike monetary policy, does not have “long and variable lags” associated with...
Mutually Assured Economic Destruction
Thanks to Jack Marinovic for his help on this piece, specifically with research on the Cold War and the economics of the USSR!
In 1961, the Soviet Union detonated the Tsar Bomba, by far the most powerful nuclear device ever detonate...
How does US growth slow with so much new debt?
Given the recent moves in markets this post couldn’t be at a worse time! However, it’s worth noting that the first time I posted about this model and forecasted bullish US growth was at the worst of the 4th quarter 2023 equity drawdown (-10...
Tariffs that reshore must create inflation
Will tariffs push up costs for US consumers and drive inflation higher? This seems to be the only question markets seem to care about, despite being entirely unrelated to whether the implementation of tariffs is a success or a failure.
The...
Low unemployment is a European mirage
Mario Draghi’s report on European competitiveness won’t contain anything of substance for those who are students of the European economy. It could have been written 10 years ago, with the only meaningful changes being the lamenting over Eur...
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Macro trader, teaching and thinking differently about macro-economics.
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