A source for information and statistics about American elections
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michaelmcdonald.substack.comLatest Issues
North Carolina and New Jersey Are Voting
What can we learn at this early stage?
North Carolina began sending mail ballots on Friday September 4 and this week five New Jersey counties began sending ballots in advance of their Saturday 19 deadline to mail ballots.
2026 General Election Early Voting Underway
My 2026 General Election Early Vote Tracker is now live with the first state, North Carolina, reporting ten people voting on Friday, Sept. 4.
These ten voters are from military and overseas civilian voters. North Carolina election official...
North Carolina Sends Out Mail Ballots Friday, Sept. 4
What to expect
North Carolina begins early voting on September 4 (tomorrow as I write this). So I want to give some quick cautions on what to expect.
Changes in Florida Voting Mode
SB90 took effect for the 2026 elections and made mail balloting more burdensome
As the early voting period approaches it is a good time for me to post a reminder that election forecasting depends on having a past comparable election to ext...
Florida 2026 Primary Turnout
Challenges for Republican Governor Candidate Byron Donalds
Florida’s primary election was unlike other recent primary elections where Democratic turnout exceeded Republican turnout in places like Michigan and Wisconsin. A little more than...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections
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