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Michael’s Newsletter

Michael McDonald
Hundreds of paid subscribers

A source for information and statistics about American elections

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues96Founded4 years agoLast Issue8 days ago
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Latest Issues

Mail Ballot Return Rates as of the First Weekend in October

We’re still in the initial stages of the early voting process, so I strongly caution about drawing strong inferences about the direction of the election.

We’re still in the initial stages of the early voting process, so I strongly caution...

8 days ago
7
4
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Early Voting Underway

And what might you draw from it?

I’ve spent the last week working on my early vote tracker dashboard. If you subscribe to my Substack, you likely already visit it. If you haven’t, I’ve added many new features.

15 days ago
8
2
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North Carolina and New Jersey Are Voting

What can we learn at this early stage?

North Carolina began sending mail ballots on Friday September 4 and this week five New Jersey counties began sending ballots in advance of their Saturday 19 deadline to mail ballots.

25 days ago
5
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2026 General Election Early Voting Underway

My 2026 General Election Early Vote Tracker is now live with the first state, North Carolina, reporting ten people voting on Friday, Sept. 4.

These ten voters are from military and overseas civilian voters. North Carolina election official...

a month ago
6

North Carolina Sends Out Mail Ballots Friday, Sept. 4

What to expect

North Carolina begins early voting on September 4 (tomorrow as I write this). So I want to give some quick cautions on what to expect.

a month ago
1
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  • Michael McDonald

    Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections

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