Midday Macro
Michael Ball, CFA, FRMColor on Markets, Economy, Policy, and Geopolitics
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 264 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | a year ago |
| Active | |||||
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middaymacro.substack.comLatest Issues
2025 Costanza Trades – LAST MIDDAY MACRO
This will be our last Midday Macro newsletter for the foreseeable future. I will be joining Bloomberg as a macro strategist at the beginning of January.
It’s been an interesting experience writing this newsletter (of which we have publishe...
The Melt Up Continues: Falling Volatility Keeps Equities and Rates Well Bid
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Falling market volatility due to more balanced data, a still dovish leaning Fed, and reduced headline noise keeps the melt-up in equities and rates alive and well
- Next week’s inflation data will be less impactful to the Fed’s Decembe...
The Trump Trade Resumes as Markets Navigate Increased Headline Volatility
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Trades that did well into and immediately following the election resumed their outperformance this week as the initial uncertainty from Trump’s cabinet picks fade
- However, increased geopolitical worries will continue during the trans...
You Reap What You Sow: Is Trump 2.0 Stagflationary?
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The people have spoken, and Trump 2.0 may usher in a more stagflationary America versus the RoW if the majority of campaign-promised policies come to light
- Risk sentiment has cooled this week as the growing level of policy uncertaint...
The Unlikely Resilience of Risk Appetite
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The melt-up in U.S. equities continues as growth and inflation trends support risk sentiment
- “Trump Trades” may be stretched with the election still too close to call, and as a result, it is unclear how much of the expected year-end...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
My name is Michael Ball and I’m a macro analyst/consultant focused on markets, policy, and geopolitics. Previously a macro analyst for a boutique research shop, asset allocator, and member of the Markets Group at the NY Fed during the GFC.
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