Reletter
Artwork for MindVault

MindVault

Phil Hagspiel

A weekly drip of mental models. Signal only. Zero noise.

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues196Founded5 years agoLast Issuea year ago
Active

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Artwork for MindVault

Latest Issues

The Base Rate Fallacy

When you meet a super introvert and quiet person and are asked to guess their job, what’s your guess?

A) Librarian

B) Salesperson

Easy, right? Librarian. Most librarians are introverts and quiet.

Sure.

And most salespeople are extrover...

a year ago
8

Parkinson's Law

"Work expands so as to fill the time available for its completion."

— C. Northcote Parkinson

Think about your last project deadline. Did it mysteriously expand to consume every last minute available?

That's Parkinson's Law in acti...

a year ago
4
1

Signal vs. Noise

"The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth."

— Nate Silver

Want to make smarter decisions? Learn to spot what matters in a world that's trying to drown you in distractions.

Signal is:

  • The true tr...
a year ago
7
1

The Dunning-Kruger Effect

Ever notice how many people who think they’re absolute pros suck, while true experts tend to doubt themselves?

It’s so widespread that there’s a name for it: The Dunning-Kruger Effect.

It works in two ways:

  1. Incompetence Bree...
a year ago
4

Antifragility: Thriving on Chaos

Thriving on chaos. Not just surviving stress and bouncing back but actually getting stronger as a result.

There’s a quality in life governing long-term success many never think about. You can find it in nature, businesses, sports teams...

2 years ago
4

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    More of what matters. None of what doesn't.

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