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MJFinance’s Newsletter

MJFinance

Weekly analysis on global politcal/econ affairs

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues150SubscribersRead mjfinance.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

五仁随笔240906——定位错误是耻辱的根源

中国男足又丢人现眼了。这个事情本不奇怪,从我开始看球的三十年前到现在,每每到了大赛,如世界杯预选赛,中国队的拉胯几乎是常态。只有在01年,洋和尚米卢算是医好了中国球员的“心理病”,顺利出线。当时以为是一个开始,想不到那就是巅峰。0比7输给日本,背后折射的恐怕不仅仅是中国的足球垮塌式落后,其根源还在于中国人战略上的惯常迷失——定位错误。定位错,则方法错;方法错则结果与预想大相径庭,从而导致心理上进一步的崩溃。而定位错误不仅出现在足球,更出现在金融市场,乃至于中国在全世界的定位问...

2 months ago
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诸葛风云录——私募基金经理的独白——第一章:梦醒

笔者近期看到有金融从业人士写《陆家嘴之狼:大宋新生》,不由感慨,权开此新系列,挖个新坑看看大家是否抬爱。若有死忠粉强烈要求更新的,我便更新:)

2 months ago
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五仁随笔240829——毒酒共汝饮,白刃不相饶

大美利坚的降息之路,或者本blog订阅用户熟知的“大胖子转身”,似乎有了真正的眉目和路线图。在今年的Jackson Hole之后,鲍威尔所释放的信息是明确的:别猜了,降是大概率。这对资本市场自然是个利好,也符合民主党人的利益——民主党最不能接受现在股市土崩瓦解,因为这样正好给trump拣个便宜。然而,降息仿佛是这个“狼来了”的故事,从去年就开始喊,到现在似乎大家真有些免疫,甚至有些惊惶。美联储向来把握不好降息时间的尺度,2000年和2007年从相对比较高的利率开始降息之后,股...

2 months ago
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五仁随笔240823——甜蜜的虚伪与血淋淋的真相

近期,一篇某知名基金合伙人的雄文《对目前创投行业投资条款的一些看法》再次在资本市场圈广为流传。该文貌似情真意切,从创始人的角度剖析国内回购条款的种种不合理之处,以及倡导当今政府应该听从寅吃卯的劝诫,尽快放水解除“制裁”,从二级市场源头解决目前一级市场投资大幅度下滑的现状。如果我是一级市场的既得利益者,我举四只手赞同他的观点,然而如果将格局抬升,其内容之实无非是绑架政府,指出所谓“解铃还须系铃人”。甜蜜的东西往往是虚伪的,而血淋淋的真相是,2025-2027这三年间将是中国一级...

2 months ago
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