Probability Tree's Substack
Probability Tree InvestingWhy is the stock cheap, what will get it moving, what are the risks and how to size and enter the position. This is what I look at.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 17 | Subscribers | Read | mrm7112.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Quick Update on Brighthouse Financial's Potential Sale
I took a roughly 2.5% position in the stock after there was a report in the Financial Times that they are looking for a buyer. I took a position after it jumped from ~$50 to $62 on the news. It is now only a little above my cost base.
How to get rich in stocks. No, really. This is how you get rich.
The headline seems clickbait. But it’s the truth.
SCR: The best play in oil sands trading at a deep discount.
The company I am writing about is called Strathcona Resources a Canadian oil sands play. It is now the 5th largest oil producer in Canada. This is a pretty big position for me and my cost basis is $29. You can buy it for cheaper.
Buying Gold Stocks With Hedges On The GLD. A 2025 Playbook.
One interesting note before I start. Gold stocks have historically traded at very high valuations. I could not wrap my head around the valuations when gold was below $2000. Now that valuations are much more reasonable there does not seem to...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Former university TA in accounting and finance. I enjoy forensic accounting and business valuation. I have been running my own private hedge fund since 2012.
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