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Nagi Yan

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文明为什么会跃迁?

站在人类历史内部看,文明的每一次跃迁都充满偶然。

如果没有某个科学家,如果某场战争结果不同,如果某项技术晚出现几十年,历史似乎就会完全改写。

但我越来越怀疑:

我们可能把路径的偶然,当成了跃迁本身的偶然。


一、历史可能是一场状态跃迁

想象一个球在山谷里滚动。

站在球旁边的人只能看见局部轨迹:它撞上一块石头,于是改变方向;又遇到一道沟,于是加速向下。

于是我们会认为,是这些偶然事件决定了它最终去了哪里。

但如果站得足够高,就能看到整个地形。...

9 days ago
1

不同的哲学是如何产生的?

人类已经争论了几千年哲学。

世界究竟是什么?人能不能认识真实?理性和经验谁更可靠?自由意志是否存在?什么是善?人应该怎样生活?

不同文明给出了不同答案。

于是又产生了另一个延续至今的问题:中西方哲学能否融合?

有人试图在概念之间建立对应关系:用西方哲学解释“道”,用现代哲学重新解释儒家,用佛学对应现象学,用黑格尔解释中国思想。

但如果换一个角度,这个问题可能根本没有那么困难。

因为真正需要解释的,也许不是:

哪一种哲学正确?

而是:

为什么人类会产生不同的哲...

21 days ago

从反馈到结构生成:CPV 如何桥接系统论、控制论与复杂系统理论

CPV 不是要替代系统论、控制论、复杂系统理论或自创生理论。更准确地说,CPV 提供的是一个纵向坐标:它描述一个系统面对外部差异时,能否把差异转化为内部结构,并进一步用这种结构修正模型、重组自身,甚至生成新的系统—环境关系。

传统系统理论已经给出了非常重要的基础概念:系统与环境、边界、输入输出、反馈、稳态、自组织、涌现、自指、操作闭合、层级跃迁。CPV 接续这些问题,但它把焦点集中到一个更具体的判断上:

一个系统面对环境差异时,能够把差异处理到什么结构深度?

这句话...

3 months ago
4
1

Principles of CPV, Chapter 9 |CPV Is Not a Court, but a Mirror

CPV不是裁决器,而是一面镜子

一个理论真正的风险,往往不是它没人理解。

而是它被太快使用。

当一个理论进入现实世界,它会立刻被各种力量拉扯:

  • 有人想把它变成标签

  • 有人想把它变成工具

  • 有人想把它变成权威

  • 有人想把它变成流行语

  • 有人想把它变成筛选、排名和裁决系统

CPV 也会面对这个风险。

因为它确实讨论层级、结构、跃迁、净值、动机和评估。

这些词一旦进入公共场,很容易被压缩成:

“谁更高?”
“谁更...

5 months ago
1

Principles of CPV, Chapter 8 |Why CPV Needs Formalization, but Must Not Become a Scoring Machine

第八章原则公开版|为什么CPV需要数学化,但不能变成评分器

如果 CPV 继续往前走,它一定会遇到一个问题:

一套关于投影、结构恢复、位置、层级、跃迁、净值和动机的理论,能不能变成一个可比较、可评估、可校准的系统?

我的答案是:需要。

但必须非常谨慎。

因为 CPV 一旦数学化,就会立刻面临被误用的风险。

最危险的误用是:
把它变成一个认知评分器。

也就是:

  • 你是几分

  • 他是几分

  • 谁比谁高

  • 谁更有资格

  • 谁可...

5 months ago

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  • Nagi Yan

    I write about the accelerating fracture of modern civilization and the possibilities of its transition. From America’s dream to global illusions, from collapse to renewal — this is a search for the next anchor of humanity.

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