Navnoor Bawa
Quantitative Researcher
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 216 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 10 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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navnoorbawa.substack.comLatest Issues
Prediction Market Alpha: The 3.14% Who Win, the Federal Cases, and the Hedge Funds Moving In
A Google software engineer made $1.2 million on Polymarket in seven weeks by trading on an internal marketing publication he previewed through a confidential company tool. A Special Forces master sergeant converted $33,000 in seven days of...
How HRT and Jane Street Made $22.5B in One Quarter: The Models, the 50.1% Edge, and the SEBI Order
When the Strait of Hormuz closed in early 2026, two private trading firms posted Q1 trading revenue that topped the trading desks of JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America. This is a reconstruction of exactly how they did it, sourced...
A Nomura Trader Made $10,284 Spoofing ¥400 Billion in JGB Orders. BlueCrest Hired Him for the Alpha Inside.
A Nomura managing director spent five hours manufacturing order book pressure with more than ¥400 billion in phantom JGB futures orders. Regulators caught it three years later. Hedge funds spent the better part of two years trying and faili...
The Cramér-Rao Bound Killed LTCM. It’s Why the SEC Just Fined Two Sigma $90M.
Fisher Information sets a mathematical floor on the variance of every parameter a quant fund estimates. The Cramér-Rao bound makes that floor a tradable boundary: cross it, and your reported Sharpe ratio is statistical noise, your calibrate...
Market Making Alpha: How Virtu Won 1,237 Days — and Why Jane Street Keeps Ending Up in Court
Court filings, SEC administrative orders, peer-reviewed papers, and on-record executive interviews reveal something most finance professionals never piece together: the bid-ask spread is not a fee. It is the residual of an information war,...
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