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Navnoor Bawa

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Quantitative Researcher. How hedge funds actually make money, worked out from the filings they have to make. Every number sourced.

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PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues270Foundeda year agoLast Issue3 days ago
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Latest Issues

Moderna and Merck Disclosed No Data. The Stock Moved 177% Anyway.

The most crowded short in the S&P 500 met a binary catalyst with zero efficacy data, and two mechanical amplifiers, not the trial, explain most of the 177%.

I want to open with the number most of Wednesday’s coverage buried. Moderna fell m...

3 days ago
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The Bank of England warned about this crowding. Citadel and Millennium's size tier took $6.5 billion anyway.

Citco’s July hedge fund data show the only profitable size bracket was too small to register in the firm’s own flow tables, while the size tier the Bank of England had already flagged as crowded absorbed most of the year’s new money anyway....

4 days ago
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Nasdaq's Night Session Enters a Market Blue Ocean ATS Already Built

Blue Ocean ATS already cleared $382B overnight in 2025. December 6 just adds three unlinked exchanges to the same book.

Nasdaq’s Night Session doesn’t create new overnight liquidity on December 6. It legally clears exchanges to enter a mar...

5 days ago
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Chris Hohn's TCI Bet $698M on Five Hotels. Gruppo Statuto Owns Every One.

The claim: TCI’s newly disclosed $636mn Italian hotel debt book, widely read as diversification away from Chris Hohn’s famous concentrated equity bets, is the same single name concentration philosophy in a different wrapper.

Sir Christophe...

6 days ago
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JPMorgan Warned of a Fertilizer Crisis in April. Urea Is Already 10% Cheaper Than a Year Ago.

Nearly six months into a Strait of Hormuz closure that has cut flows from a region supplying 42% of the world’s urea supply (J.P. Morgan Global Research), the commodity itself looks unremarkable. I pulled the benchmark expecting to confirm...

6 days ago
2

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  • Navnoor Bawa

    Quantitative Researcher. How hedge funds actually make money, from their own filings.

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