Analytical but narrative -- blending the past and future of sportswriting
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🏀 2025-26 NBA Elo Forecast and Player Ratings 📈
Track how I'm forecasting every team’s chance to make — and win — the NBA Finals, all season long.
The following page contains my 2025-26 season predictions for each NBA team, and my new LAKER Estimated RAPTOR player ratings. For more info...
⚾ 2026 MLB Elo Power Ratings, Playoff Odds & Wins Above Replacement (WAR) rankings 📈
The following table is a list of MLB teams with their Elo ratings and their predicted wins throughout the 2026 season.
The following table is a list of MLB teams with their Elo ratings and their predicted wins throughout the 2026 season. F...
The PGA Championship Is Golf's Democratic Major. It Just Doesn't Know It.
A general view of the Wanamaker Trophy in front of the clubhouse at the Aronimink Golf Club on June 2, 2025 in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. (Scott Taetsch/PGA of America via Getty Images)
Among the major men’s golf tournaments, the PGA Ch...
🏀 2026 WNBA Elo Team Power Rankings and Player Rankings 📈
Power ratings for every WNBA team and player this season.
This page contains a list of WNBA teams with their Elo ratings for the 2026 season. (Note: This is basic Elo, so no adjustments for trades, injuries, etc. for the moment.) I also li...
🏒 2025-26 NHL Team Elo Power Rankings & Goals Above Replacement Player Ratings 📉
Power ratings and forecasts for every NHL team and player this season.
The following page contains a list of NHL teams with their Elo ratings and projected wins for the 2025-26 season. It also features Goals Above Replacement data, which i...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Sports data guy, writer, editor, podcaster, former FiveThirtyEight sports editor, proud Georgia Tech alum.
Telling stories with data, usually sports but not always.
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