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Not With a Bang

Arctotherium

Articles on demography and civilization.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues37Founded5 years agoLast Issue17 days ago
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Latest Issues

AI Race Dynamics Are Not Always Bad

Reader’s Note: This post was intended for LessWrong, so the tone and style differ from my usual.

Summary: It is an extremely good thing that advancing the current leading AI paradigm requires immense capital expenditures, which encourages...

17 days ago
64
12

Mortmain Migration

In The Future and Its Enemies1, Virginia Postrel argues that immigration restrictionists are “stasists,” who reject progress and change, while “dynamists,” the friends of the future, embrace open borders. The obvious, and correct, rejoinder...

a month ago
150
15

Summary and Review of Jacob Siegel’s The Information State

tl;dr: It’s a great book, but flawed. I wholeheartedly recommend buying and reading it. The Information State can be purchased here or here.

Unless otherwise noted, all quotes in this review are from The Information State and the numbers i...

2 months ago
91
2

The Closure of the Internet

Introduction

In July 2012, the UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) unanimously adopted a landmark resolution affirming a simple proposition: “The same rights that people have offline must also be protected online, in particular freedom of...

2 months ago
1157
157

LLM Exchange Rates: Claude Fable and Company

Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5

Emergent Utilities

In February 2025, the Center for AI Safety published “Utility Engineering: Analyzing and Controlling Emergent Value Systems in AIs” (website, code, paper) showing that modern LLM...

3 months ago
43
7

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  • Arctotherium

    Arctotherium is a writer concerned with the future. You can read more of his writings at his blog, Not With A Bang, or his Twitter.

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