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Outsized Returns

Outsized Returns explores investment ideas where outcomes can scale non-linearly because the market is misunderstanding the business, mispricing its durability, or underestimating how value compounds over time.

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues15Founded9 months agoLast Issue5 months ago
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Latest Issues

How to Make Outsized Returns, Part 1 - The Retail Investor’s Real Edge

Most investors spend too much time looking for better stock picks and not enough time thinking about where their edge actually comes from.

That is understandable. Stock picking feels tangible. You can run screens, read annual reports, look...

5 months ago
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Wise (WISE): Building the Rails for Global Money

Outsized Returns explores investment ideas where outcomes can scale non-linearly because the market is misunderstanding the business, mispricing its durability, or underestimating how value compounds over time. The focus is on downside-awar...

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Outsized Returns Ideas Scorecard

One thing I want Outsized Returns to be is transparent.

Not just a place to publish ideas, but a place to keep score.

This page tracks the companies I’ve written up so far, how they’ve performed since first publication, and whether I thin...

6 months ago

Keystone Law (KEYS.L): A High-Return Platform Compounder Misread as an AI Loser

Outsized Returns explores investment ideas where outcomes can scale non-linearly because the market is misunderstanding the business, mispricing its durability, or underestimating how value compounds over time. The focus is on downside-awar...

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Marex (MRX): A 28% ROE Compounder at ~9× Earnings

Outsized Returns explores investment ideas where outcomes can scale non-linearly because the market is misunderstanding the business, mispricing its durability, or underestimating how value compounds over time. The focus is on downside-awar...

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  • Outsized Returns

    Outsized Returns is an investment research newsletter focused on finding mispriced, durable businesses where long-term outcomes are skewed in the investor’s favour. Written for curious equity investors who want to think better.

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