This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
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| Issues | 4875 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
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overcomingbias.comLatest Issues
Easy To Hard Discipline Academic Careers Paths
Tasks often vary along a dimension where some tasks matter more, yet are also harder to judge for quality of performance. This spectrum appears in org management, where it is harder to judge the quality of higher level more important decisi...
How To Be A Usually-Right Contrarian
We rightly celebrate rebels who were initially contrarian on key claims, but then got the world to later agree with them. Many seek to achieve this status by backing various contrarian claims. Of course, as the usual consensus beliefs tend...
Status And Social-Skill Bias
The following table gives medians of 3 LLM estimates re % relative importance for short term success in 5 areas of life of these 4 factors:
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(A) status: looks, $, fame, family, connections, credentials, charisma, wit, etc.
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(B) soci...
Why Sheep Need Pigs in Sheepdog’s Clothing
Your success in life will be determined largely by your ability to speak, your ability to write, and the quality of your ideas. In that order. (Patrick Winston)
We humans have norms that are anti-domination, but pro-prestige, and it is o...
Who Are Your "Descendants"?
On AI risk, I’ve said that evolved things have two robust habits: wariness of co-existing rivals, even when similar to you, and indulgence of descendants, even when different from you. Today, future AIs are our descendants, not co-existing...
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