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Overcoming Bias

Robin Hanson
Hundreds of paid subscribers

This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues4849Founded3 years agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

How Weak Is Cultural Evolution?

World fertility decline seems the clearest example of a maladaptive cultural trend, as healthy biological species just don’t decline in times of plenty, peace, and health. Two main theories compete to explain this trend. One is that previou...

5 days ago
10
5

We Must Change How We Source Morality

Consider three sources of opinions or habits:

  • (A) Inherit - passed down via DNA or culture, mostly sit in background unquestioned, give assumptions for B,C.

  • (B) Consider - personally think own thoughts, conscious or otherwise. I...

7 days ago
24
29

Meta-Institutions Matter Most

This is an essay. Like most of my essays, I write it mostly to strangers. And with it, I hope to influence history. Some influence history via words to strangers that show drama, interestingness, impressiveness, or political and moral evoca...

11 days ago
66
22

The Elephant In The Op-ed

Most writing and talking embraces our usual illusions on human motives. In our book The Elephant in the Brain (with Kevin Simler) we instead expose such illusions. Which many have told us feels depressing and demotivating; it’s not what the...

15 days ago
28
14

Toward-Forager Predictions

In my last post I reported:

For the last century, … averaging over [3] LLMs, 89% of culture trends that can be classified are toward-forager.

And 81% of such trends can be so classified. For the prior two centuries this explanatory powe...

16 days ago
20
6

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