This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.
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overcomingbias.comLatest Issues
The Return Of Culture
Capital, culture, and states are three key powers in the world. Which ones influences the others more, and how has that changed over time? I asked ChatGPT (5.5), Claude (4.6), and Gemini (3) to estimate pairwise influence each way on a 0-10...
Four Culture Fixes
Humanity has broken its superpower of cultural evolution, at least at the level of large cultural units, the units that set our game theoretic equilibria of key norms, values, and status markers. 300yrs ago these units had great variety, we...
The Coming Hackastrophe
For years, cybersecurity experts have been warning about the chaos that highly capable hacking bots could usher in. … Claude Mythos Preview appears to represent not an incremental change but the beginning of a paradigm shift. … Perhaps mo...
On Politics And Governance
The key innovation that has powered the modern era is: organizations. We solve a great many problems by creating an org, setting it tasks, giving it powers and resources, and putting some key “masters” in charge.
Besides participating as s...
Figure Stuff Out Together
We vary in our motives and priorities in thinking. For example, some try to impress, some try to sell others on pre-existing positions, some try to show loyalty and support to teams, and some try to figure stuff out. As we have norms agains...
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