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PA - Global Macro

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Exploring the world of macro through a practical and philosophical lens. The posts scan current macro narratives and aim to help educate readers on various subjects in a simple-to-read style.

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Latest Issues

Friday Thoughts

First Hike, what follows? FOMC & BoE Review

The FOMC came, and we have seen a new Warsh, someone I thought did his job very well. The common narrative going into the meeting was that they wouldn’t outpace the prevailing pricing - that was...

4 days ago
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Pre-FOMC Thoughts

Dollar / Rates & Curves / Gold - New Cycle or Re-Calibration? History Lessons.

I am sure you are all inundated with FOMC analyses; me too. I try to zoom out when people overanalyse one meeting and the resulting market reaction, which, give...

6 days ago
5
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Attack the Week (ATW)

Why the Fed won’t hike / Weekly Calendar / Macro FX Spreadsheet / Asset Allocation Update

Sunday Thoughts

8 days ago
4
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Friday Thoughts

Front-end carnage / Druckenmiller thoughts / Macro D Week in Review

I am writing this on the road, trying to catch a flight that, given the UK air traffic delays this week, will hopefully take off. I’ll probably send this a few minutes bef...

11 days ago
3
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The Wrong Interest Rate for Everyone

AI, credit and the impossible search for the right cost of capital

There is something increasingly strange about the price of money. Interest rates seem too high for much of the economy, yet perhaps still too low for the investment boom in...

14 days ago
6
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  • PA - Global Macro

    Macro Investor and Observer. Creator of PA - Global Macro. Life-long learner. My views only. 2+ decades of institutional & HF experience. No investment advice.

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