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My personal Substack

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Latest Issues

Short Thoughts: Hyperscalers' AI CapEx & ROIC

Back in July 2024 right before CapEx was about to explode, Sundar Pichai, Google’s CEO, came out and said the following:

“the risk of under-investing is dramatically greater than the risk of over-investing for us here, even in scenarios wh...

13 days ago
24
10

The Most Anticipated Spinoff Of The Year

The most awaited spinoff of the year has finally arrived.

Honeywell has finally spun off its crown jewel business, Honeywell Aerospace.

This business is in one of the best industries that exists with guaranteed demand for decades, has a w...

a month ago
33
8

The Accounting Tricks Holding Up the AI Boom

GMO is one of the few houses to not shy away from speaking their minds. In January 2000, filled with skepticism about the stock market’s performance, they predicted that the S&P500 would deliver real returns of -1.9% a year over the next de...

2 months ago
22
4

ChatGPT’s First Victim

The story of Chegg is a tragic one that shows the brutality of capitalism but filled with rich insights as to the disruption that AI can bring.

Many companies are currently under trial and considered guilty until proven innocent in the eye...

2 months ago
17

The Most Misunderstood Stock In The Market

As I walked towards the driveway right before writing this article, sipping a freshly made hot coffee on a beautiful sunny day, I thought to myself what a privilege it was to not have my alley blocked by a Waymo or even worse, a whole fleet...

3 months ago
20
6

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  • Paul Gantheil

    Equity Analyst sharing lessons on investing to help you think clearly.

  • Daniel's Deep Dive

    Fundamental stock analyst uncovering quality companies & long-term compounders through deep research. Giving you actionable insights for informed investing.

  • The Pursuit of Compounding

    Timeless principles for the long-term thinker. Deep-dive analyses into exceptional businesses, decoded through management, durable moats, and high-ROIC reinvestment. Seeking to understand the 'why' behind great ideas and great companies.

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